Politics

Insider Trading on Venezuela, Other Future Wars 'Encouraged': New Trader Makes

Joe Pompliano, Sports + Business | Investing at Pomp Investments | Host of The Joe Pomp Show, his popular X page that a newly created Polymarket account invested over $30,000 yesterday in Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro's exit.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 01/03/2026 - 12:38

Nicolas Maduro Captured as Betting Markets Had Venezuelan Leader a 8 Percent Chance to Be Out By Month's End

The prediction markets appeared to have it all wrong kicking off 2026. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appears to have been captured and the prediction markets only had this happening with an 8 percent chance just last week.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 01/03/2026 - 09:06

Indicted Surpeme Court Lawyer Names Names for First Time: Says He Won $26M in Poker vs Dan Bilzerian Rival

Tom Goldstein in front of US Supreme Court building

A once highly regarded appellate lawyer and founder/co-founder of SCOTUSblog, Tom Goldstein, claims he won more than $26 million in heads-up poker matches against a fellow poker player, Alec Gores.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Thu, 01/01/2026 - 16:59

Odds on Crazy 2026 Political Happenings Plus 2028 Update

The world will usher in a New Year this week, which has us thinking on the politics side...should we expect as wild of a year as 2025?

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 12/29/2025 - 14:50

Sunday December 28, 2025 AM Hot Betting Markets

These are the top betting markets for Sunday December 28, 2025 during the morning hours with the highly anticipated "Battle of the Sexes" tennis match taking place at 11 am ET and Seahawks-Panthers game going off at 1 pm ET.

Submitted by Don Shapiro on, Sun, 12/28/2025 - 08:52

Prediction Market for How Long Trump and Zelenskyy Shake Hands Sunday Draws Some Action

2 to 8 seconds. That's the anticipated time US President Donald Trump will spend shaking hands with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy when the two meet at the White House on Sunday.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Sat, 12/27/2025 - 23:31

Top Prediction Markets: Al Gore on Epstein List, Grok 4.20 Release, More

Top Betting Markets: Al Gore on Epstein List, Grok 4.20 Release, More

Also, traders backing Israeli parliament to be dissolved by March 31.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 12/26/2025 - 12:34

Betting Market: Will the Trump Administration Release More Epstein Files This Week?

With Christmas now behind us but a holiday weekend in full swing, the gambling public does not believe the US President Donald Trump administration will be releasing any more files this week pertaining to the late convicted sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Fri, 12/26/2025 - 08:22

A Very Epstein Christmas as Nearly Half of Gamblers Believe More Files to be Released This Weekend

Some redactions in recently released Epstein-related court documents can be reversed using basic editing techniques, allowing previously hidden allegations and financial details to circulate online, The Guardian Reports.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Wed, 12/24/2025 - 20:32

Full Jeffrey Epstein Betting Markets List as Document Dump Hits Tuesday Morning

The DOJ on Tuesday morning released a new batch of files related to the late disgraced sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Tue, 12/23/2025 - 10:04

Bondi Impeachment Odds: Heavy Favorite to Be Out as AG Before End of 2028

Two U.S. lawmakers are threatening to take legal action against Attorney General Pam Bondi, after her office failed to meet a deadline for the full release of government files concerning the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 12/22/2025 - 16:26

Senator Brian Schatz Reportedly to Introduce Legislation Regulating Prop Betting

"Breaking: @PabloTorre has gotten word from Senator Brian Schatz that federal legislation may be proposed in 2026 to regulate sports prop betting in the United States."

Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on, Mon, 12/22/2025 - 15:58

Bet What Trump Will Say During His Address to the Nation December 17, 2025

US President Donald Trump speaking before a portrait of former US President Ronald Reagan

US President Donald Trump is set to deliver a live prime-time address from the White House on Wednesday night with "tariff" and "Christmas" topping the list.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Wed, 12/17/2025 - 10:01

Celebrity Poker Player, Trump Supporter James Woods: 'Rob (Reiner) Literally Saved My Career'

Despite their political differences, Woods appears on Jesse Waters show. "I want from basically being out of a job to getting an Academy Award nomination and I give all the credit to Rob."

Submitted by Ace King on, Tue, 12/16/2025 - 09:09

Betting Market: Will Dan Crenshaw Sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?

A new betting market has been unveiled at Polymarket Monday morning as to whether US Congressman Dan Crenshaw sues Shawn Ryan by January 31. The odds opened with a 41 percent chance to kick off the weekend but had dropped to below 10 percent by Monday morning.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 12/15/2025 - 10:06

Netflix vs. Paramount Betting Odds

In a bidding battle that is expected to last months, the quest the acquire Warner Bros. Discovery took an interesting turn this week.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Sat, 12/13/2025 - 18:17

Titus Urges Committee Chairman to Put Bill Eliminating Gambling Tax Provision on Calendar

US President Donald Trump earlier in the week indicated he would consider supporting eliminating the new gambling tax.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 12/12/2025 - 15:32

39 Percent Chance of Another US Government Shutdown End of January 2026 According to Kalshi

Just over $200,000 had traded on this event thus far.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 12/12/2025 - 12:48

Polymarket Says No to Crypto Bet Resolutions in US

Considered one of the more controversial features at Polymarket, this "resolution" refers to the way the platform determines a final outcome of a bet once the underlying event has conclusively happened.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 12/12/2025 - 08:18

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau Engagement Odds

Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry have reached a major milestone in their relationship...they're Instagram official.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Thu, 12/11/2025 - 08:58

Trump Considers Getting Rid of New Gambling Tax Provision

"We have no tax on tips, we have no tax on Social Security, and we have no tax on overtime. No tax on gambling winnings, I don't know. I'm gonna have to think about that."

Submitted by C Costigan on, Wed, 12/10/2025 - 10:53

Texas Senate Odds Shift With Jasmine Crockett Entrance, Paxton Push

The race for Texas’s Senate seat in 2026 has quickly become one of the most closely watched in the country now that progressive Democratic Rep. Jasmine Crockett announced her candidacy.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Tue, 12/09/2025 - 19:32

Nicolas Maduro to Flee Venezuela Betting Market Opened: Which Country Will He Head to?

The United Arab Emirates is the favorite, followed by Russia and Qatar. The U.K. and Israel have the longest odds on the board.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Tue, 12/09/2025 - 08:50

NFL to Change its Name to The Great American League Favored Among the Odds as Trump Vows Name Change of League

After attending a World Cup "futbol" ceremony last week, Donald Trump said that we should rename the National Football League to avoid any confusion between American football and soccer.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Tue, 12/09/2025 - 08:06

Kalshi is NOT a Gambling Company: CNN Enters Partnership With Prediction Market

Political prediction market analyst makes these remarks in the wake of Kalshi's CNN agreement announced this week, which could soon have Netflix entering the sector as well should a newly announced deal go through.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 12/05/2025 - 09:31

Democrats Surge in Midterm Election Odds

Democratic Party Button Set Atop US Flag

The Democratic party in the US is now expected to take over the House in the 2026 midterms with an 80 percent chance per Polymarket, as of Friday morning.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 12/05/2025 - 09:11

Hegseth, Patel, Each Favored to be Out of Trump Administration Before 2027 According to Betting Markets

Pete Hegseth is pushing a lot of buttons these days.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Thu, 12/04/2025 - 15:29

Pete Hegseth Odds to Leave Trump Cabinet Next Rises Sharply in Light of Caribbean Controversy

Lawmakers from both the Republican and Democratic parties said Sunday they support congressional reviews of U.S. military strikes against vessels suspected of smuggling drugs in the Caribbean Sea

Submitted by C Costigan on, Mon, 12/01/2025 - 08:16

US Recession Odds: From 5-1 to Now Nearly Even

The U.S. economy presents a conundrum for Federal Reserve policymakers, defined by a stark dichotomy: a slowdown in hiring and job growth contrasts with sustained strength in productivity and GDP.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Mon, 11/24/2025 - 17:52

Trump to Release Epstein Files By December 31 According to Prediction Market

84% of those at Polymarket believe the Epstein Files will be released by the Trump Administration no later than December 31 with $1.1 million traded thus far.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Fri, 11/21/2025 - 10:33

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