Odds on Crazy 2026 Political Happenings Plus 2028 Update

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US President Donald Trump

The world will usher in a New Year this week, which has us thinking on the politics side...should we expect as wild of a year as 2025?

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The oddsmakers at BetOnline.ag have posted some lookahead to 2026 political props, which you can find below. 

The props mostly involve U.S. politics, but there are a couple for the United Kingdom and one for Canada. 

Topics range from 2028 endorsements to Elon Musk to state secessions.

Remember that these odds are ordered from most likely to happen (top part of list) to least likely (bottom part of list).

Finally, you can find the latest odds for the 2028 Presidential Election as we head into 2026. Candidates with odds higher than 50/1 can be seen via the link below.

What will happen in politics in 2026?

Trump refuses to support GOP candidate for Senate 7/4

Any Trump cabinet member indicted by authorities 5/2

Congressional Democrat/Republican switches party 5/2

America Party wins house/senate race  3/1

Elon Musk to endorse Democrat at midterms 3/1

J.D. Vance endorses Trump for third term 3/1

Four different people elected as House Speaker 5/1

United Kingdom holds referendum to rejoin EU 5/1

Canada holds referendum to join EU 8/1

Donald Trump to endorse 2028 candidate (not himself) 8/1

USA formally leaves N.A.T.O. 8/1

United Kingdom holds General Election 9/1

Kamala Harris to endorse 2028 candidate (not herself) 12/1

Any state to hold referendum on seceding from union 25/1

Who will win 2028 Presidential Election?

J.D. Vance 5/2

Gavin Newsom 7/2

Donald Trump Sr. 12/1

Josh Shapiro 12/1

A. Ocasio-Cortez 16/1

Marco Rubio 16/1

Pete Buttigieg 20/1

J.B. Pritzker 20/1

Donald Trump Jr. 25/1

Wes Moore 25/1

Kamala Harris 28/1

Andy Beshear 28/1

Jon Ossoff 28/1

Gretchen Whitmer 33/1

Mark Kelly 33/1

Brian Kemp 40/1

Michelle Obama 40/1

Glenn Youngkin 40/1

Ron DeSantis 50/1

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 50/1

Tom Cotton 50/1

Tim Walz 50/1

Cory Booker 50/1

Barack Obama 50/1

Eric Trump 50/1

Chris Murphy 50/1

- BetOnline Press 

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