Free MLB Picks - August 12, 2023

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

Yesterday was a brutal day with the UNDER on the Padres-Diamondbacks game that ended up way OVER.  Everything about the starting pitching trends suggested this one would remain on pace for an UNDER right through to the 6th inning, but that was not to be for reasons we can't explain.  We should start having our plays posted at the G911 Sports Hub starting today.


Andrew Heaney has righted the ship after getting dismantled by none other than the Washington Nationals.  Since that time he has delivered a 2.33 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across his past five outings.  One can probably say he is "due" for another bad outing however.

The Rangers though are 9-1 in their last ten games overall and face a Giants team that is winning at just a 40% clip of late.

The Giants career statistics vs. Heaney are 15 of 54 (.278). 

Alex Cobb will be hungry for a win in this one.  He hasn't gotten a victory in five starts.  Cobb was hit hard in a no-decision against the Athletics on Sunday afternoon, giving up five runs on seven hits across his 5 1/3 innings of work.

Prior to their last two starts, Texas had scored five or more runs in their prior six games.  It's interesting to note that they have not permitted more than 3 runs in nine of their last ten and San Francisco has only scored more than four runs in three of their last ten games. 

Philadelphia Phillies career statistics vs. Pablo Lopez are just .220 (18 for 82 with three home runs).  Two of those three homers came courtesy of Kyle Schwarber, who has 30 on the season thus far.

Lopez is 7-6 with a 3.81 ERA.  July 15 was his last bad performance. 

The Phillies start Taijuan Walker and they've been way hotter than Minnesota of late, winning eight of their last ten games.

Seattle has won eight straight games and faces off against the AL East division leader Baltimore.  They will face an Orioles starter in Cole Irvin who is 1-3 with a 5.44 ERA.

He's 15 for 44 against these Mariners with three home runs given up by Eugenio Suarez, who has 16 on the season.

George Kirby (10-8, 3.32) has allowed 15 hits off of 50 at bats (.300) off these Orioles. Anthony Santander is 4 for 9 with two home runs against him.  Kirby is coming off a win against the Angels.

Both Seattle and Baltimore have 5 or more runs in six of their last ten games overall.  The Orioles have allowed 7 or more in three of their last four games while the Mariners have permitted no more than 3 runs in eight of their last ten.

The Mariners have one of the top five bullpens of late and Baltimore's is not bad either.

Five of the last six games in the Angels-Astros series have gone OVER the current total of 9.5.  The Angels might not be scoring much but they've allowed five or more runs in 7 of their last ten games.  Houston has scored 7 or more runs in five of their last seven games.

J.P. France owns a 2.25 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over 11 appearances (10 starts) and has victories in four straight games.  The line has dropped so much on the Astros that we see "sucker" written all over it. 

While the sampling is small at 33, France has permitted 11 hits by the Angels current roster including two of six by Shohei Ohtani, though no home runs. 

Tyler Anderson starts for the Angels.  He is 5-3 with a 4.92 ERA.  Anderson pitched well in a losing effort against the Mariners on Saturday night, giving up two runs on two hits over five frames.

His last bad game was against the Astros on July 16 where he lasted just three innings in a no-decision, giving up one run on five hits and two walks.  The game before that Anderson permitted four runs versus the Dodgers.

The Astros career statistics vs. Anderson are 21 for 58 (.362). Alex Bregman has two home runs off of him. 

Rich Hill was clobbered in his Padres’ debut on Sunday night, giving up six runs on four hits over three innings in a loss to the Dodgers.

But he has a shot at redemption against a Diamondbacks team that has not won in their last nine games and are 2-8 against the Padres.

The sampling is relatively small but Hill has allowed 9 hits on 40 at bats (.225) versus the current Diamondbacks roster.

Zac Gallen is the better pitcher here on paper with his 11-5 record and 3.37 ERA.  Padres batters are 28 for 120 at bats (.239) against him.

We're back to square one it seems. Gallen hasn't had a win over his last five starts despite tossing seven innings of two-run ball and striking out eight Sunday against the Twins.  It's tough to see San Diego accumulate many runs against Gallen and we have a total of 9 to work with.

Of course San Diego does have one of the worst bullpens. Yesterday was the first time Arizona scored more than four runs over their last ten.

Blue Jays Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.87 ERA) has held the Cubs current roster to 6 hits in 30 at bats (.200).  One of the two homers came courtesy of Dansby Swanson, who has 17 on the season but is just 1 for 7 against Bassitt.   He is coming off a win versus the Red Sox after giving up four runs in his prior start.

Justin Steele (13-3, 2.68 ERA) starts for Chicago.  Steele got a win over the Braves on Sunday after allowing four runs — three earned — in 5 1/3 innings.  He surrendered five before that in another victory.

Toronto has scored 4 or fewer runs in seven of their last ten games. 

The Cubs currently have one of the worst bullpens.  Toronto right now has the second best.

Take the Blue Jays here -110 (Caesars Sportsbook).

Gambling911 Upcoming Hot Plays/Results

Friday August 11 - San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick UNDER 9 L

Thursday August 10 - No Plays

Wednesday August 9 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -134 W

Tuesday August 8 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -152 W

Monday August 7 - No Plays

Sunday August 6 - Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Saturday August 5 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Friday August 4 - No Plays

Thursday August 3 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Wednesday August 2 - No Plays

Tuesday August 1 - Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - Pick UNDER 7.5 W

Monday July 31 - No Plays

Sunday July 30 - Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Seattle -104 W

Saturday July 29 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -132 W

Friday July 28 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates - Pick Phillies -158 W

Thursday July 27 - No Plays

Wednesday July 26 - No Plays

Tuesday July 25 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick Brewers -150 L

Monday July 24 - Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -115 W

Sunday July 23 - No Plays

Saturday July 22 - New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -110 W

Friday July 21 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Blue Jays +110 L

Wednesday July 19 - Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - Pick UNDER 7.5 L

Tuesday July 18 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -130 W

Monday July 17 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick UNDER 8.5 W

Sunday July 16 - Houston Astros @ LA Angels W

Saturday July 15 - Boston Red Sox @ Chicago Cubs -105 L

Friday July 14 - Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds - Pick Brewers -112 W

Sunday July 9 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Pick Blue Jays -130 W

Saturday July 8 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 9.5 W

Saturday July 8 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -180 W

Friday July 7 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins - Pick Phillies -134 W

Friday July 7 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -175 W

Friday July 7 - Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -145 L

Thursday July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins L

Wednesday July 5 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Tuesday July 4 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Blue Jays -120 W

Monday July 3 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 9 L

Sunday July 2 - Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick Twins L

Friday June 30 - Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -169 L

Thursday June 29 - LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 12 L

Wednesday June 28 - Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals - Pick Guardians W

Thursday June 22 - Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins W

Tuesday June 20 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Monday June 19 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Rangers -128 W

Sunday June 18 - Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -150 W

Saturday June 17 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -170 W

Thursday June 15 - Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Wednesday June 14 - New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Pick UNDER 7 P

Tuesday June 13 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Pick Orioles +105 W

Monday June 12 - Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -130 W

Sunday June 11 - Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total 8 - Pick UNDER 8 L

Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W

Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L

Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W

Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W

Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W

Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W

Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W

Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W

Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W

Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L

Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L

Tuesday May 23 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Cleveland Guardians (Logan Allen) - Pick - Under 8.5 W

Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)

Thursday May 25 Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W

Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L

Saturday May 27 - San Diego Padres (Michael Wacha) vs. New York Yankees (Luis Severino) - Pick Yankees -155 W

Saturday May 27 - Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer) - Pick - Orioles L

Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L

Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W

- Ean Lamb,

Baseball News

Top Capper Favorite: Cubs vs. Orioles

Despite the Baltimore Orioles being listed as a -168 favorite, two of the top cappers at the G911 Sports Hub are backing their opponent, the Chicago Cubs at +142.