Should I Bet on the Miami Marlins Braxton Garrett?

Written by:
Tyrone Black
Published on:
Jun/22/2023

Should bettors back Braxton Garrett in today's game?  Let's take a thorough look below.

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Pirates @ Marlins

(June 22, 2023) - Through 14 appearances (13 starts), the Miami Marlins lefty owns a 3.88 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP, and his 5.5 K/BB ratio is top five in baseball (min. 60 IP).  The Marlins are just a -155 favorite this day hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates. 

Marlins @ Nationals

(June 17, 2023) - The Marlins will be a doable -170 at Washington with Garrett at the mound.  We'd expect him to be out for blood following a no-decision in his last start against the White Sox after 5 1/3 scoreless frames only to have Chicago score three runs.

What better team to take out your frustrations on than the Nats?

The Marlins are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in D.C.

Over Garrett's past six starts, he has produced a 2.25 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP with 41 strikeouts in 32 frames.  In this span, he's surrendered more than two runs only once. 

Garrett has allowed just 7 hits in 32 at bats from the current Nats lineup. Lane Thomas (.288 with 10 home runs on the season) has the lone homer.

Do take the Miami Marlins -170 here.

Braxton Garrett Update 

(June 17, 2023) - Garrett enjoyed a nice win against the Royals and was now 2-2 with a 4.10 ERA after a win against the Royals and striking out nine in 5 1/3 scoreless frames against the White Sox on Sunday.  Unfortunately, the Marlins pulled him as not to face off against Luis Robert Jr. for a third time.  The White Sox would go on to score three runs.

Royals @ Marlins

(June 5, 2023) - Garrett has been solid in three of his last four starts with a game in Colorado the lone exception.  He's 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA and hasn't had a win since April 22. 

Garrett pitched 5 1/3 innings against the Padres, allowing just two hits and an earned run while striking out seven.  He's allowed just three runs in his last four starts, lowering his season ERA to 4.22 during that time span, while striking out 26 in 21 2/3 IP.  But he is super desperate for a win here and what better team to accomplish that feat than versus the Kansas City Royals?  Miami is listed at just -155 too.

KC has the fourth-lowest wOBA and fifth-highest strikeout rate against right-handers.

Used as an opener for the second straight appearance, Carlos Hernández struck out three in two perfect innings against the White Sox on Sunday.  He's 0-3 with a 4.86 ERA.  He is not pitching beyond 2 innings so there is a great unknown here,

Miami has won seven of their last ten games and own a respectable 32-28 record at the moment.

What's to Love

  • Braxton Garrett has pitched well of late and is in desperation mode here
  • KC will start a pitcher who has really only served in a relief role up to this point
  • The Royals have the fifth-highest strikeout rate versus right-handers
  • Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
  • Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games.

What's Not to Love

  • "Sucker" line possible
  • Garrett did have a bad outing recently in Colorado and has yet to win since late April
  • Garrett has not gotten much farther than 5 innings in his most recent starts
  • The total has come down from 8.5 to 7.5

Do take Miami -155 here

- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com

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