Free MLB Picks - June 9, 2023

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

The Milwaukee Brewers will come into Sunday's matchup against the Cincinnati Reds 25th in wOBA facing righties while fanning 25% of the time.


Wade Miley of the Brewers is 5-2 with a 3.36 ERA.  His last start he gave up two runs over four innings in a no-decision against the Mets and before they shut out the Guardians for six innings in a victory Friday.

Miley has not faced many of the Reds current lineup but those he has there have been enough at bats to total 56 with just 13 hits for a solid .232.

The Reds Ben Lively is 4-4 with a 4.11 ERA.  He is being activated from the 15-day injured list.  He suffered from a  strained right pectoral.

The Reds are 23-5 in their last 28 games following a win and 21-5 in their last 26 road games.

Six of the last ten in this series have stayed UNDER the current total of 9.5 but four of the last five games for Cincinnati have seen the Reds score at least five runs while the Brewers have scored 5 or more in eight of their last nine.

We'll pass with the UNDER here and pass on this game entirely.

Blue Jays @ Tigers

This one caught our eye as Toronto comes into this game as a -130 favorite. They are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.  Another hot trend to consider is that the UNDER has gone 21-5 in this series.  The total here is 8.

Chris Bassitt pitched in a no-decision against the White Sox his last start, giving up three runs on six hits over his six innings of work.  Before that he recorded a career-high 12 strikeouts over six shutout innings on Thursday in a win over the Giants.

Bassitt is 8-5 with a 4.09 ERA but owns a 4-4 record on the road with a 5.74 ERA.

The Tigers career statistics vs. Bassitt are just .232, making him an even more enticing play this day.

Zach McKinstry has two of the three homers off of Bassitt.  Javier Baez is 2-for-3 off him but is just .221 on the season.  The one to watch is Miguel Cabrera.  He's 6 for 15 against Bassitt.

The Tigers start Tarik Skubal.  He tossed four no-hit innings in his season debut on Tuesday. 

Detroit's bullpen ERA over the past ten days is 5.50 compared to Toronto having the fifth best (3.07).

The Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 games following a loss and 6-1 in their last 7 road games.

Do take Toronto -130 here.

- Don Shapiro,

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