Politics

Odds for Next Country Attacked by US Has Mexico Favored? Next Iranian Supreme Leader Betting Market

Global war escalated quickly over the weekend, and many Americans are left wondering what will happen next.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 03/03/2026 - 09:59

Ken Paxton, James Talarico to Win Their Respective Primaries in Texas According to Oddsmakers

Ken Paxton, the current Attorney General of Texas, was pretty much a "lock" to win the Republican primary in that state on Tuesday even though this one is likely to head for a May runoff.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 03/03/2026 - 09:09

Alireza Arafi Next Iran Supreme Leader Odds

Arafi is described as a firebrand Iranian cleric and politician who has served as a member of the Guardian Council since 2019, and a member of the Assembly of Experts since 2022.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 03/02/2026 - 21:37

AP Joins Forces With Prediction Market Kalshi

The Associated Press on Monday March 2 announced that it will provide its U.S. elections results to Kalshi, the world’s largest prediction market.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 03/02/2026 - 20:25

The Price of Gas End of First Week March 2026 Odds: $3.20 or Higher Anticipated

As of March 2, 2026, the U.S. national average price for regular unleaded gasoline in the U.S. is approximately $2.997 per gallon, according to AAA. Prices have seen slight increases recently, even prior to the US-Israeli air strikes on Iran that began Saturday.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Mon, 03/02/2026 - 13:42

Texas’ Latest Primary Odds Lengthen for Both Races

All eyes will be on the state of Texas Tuesday March 3 as the Senate primary votes are collected and counted.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 03/02/2026 - 11:15

Six Accounts on Polymarket Made Out Like Bandits With American Israel Strike on Iran

But was it really insider trading?

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sun, 03/01/2026 - 07:22

USA Iran War Betting Markets: Ali Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader, Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz, More

The U.S. and Israel launched a major attack on Iran on Saturday, and President Donald Trump.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Sat, 02/28/2026 - 09:40

Senate Primary Odds for Texas, Maine, Kentucky, More Now Available for Betting

Early voting for Senate primary elections is ongoing and the races are heating up.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 02/26/2026 - 19:47

Epstein Prop Bets Available for the Clinton Hearings

While all eyes were on Tuesday night's State of the Union Address, many ears will be cupped against the House Oversight Committee's walls Thursday and Friday (February 26 and 27).

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Tue, 02/24/2026 - 19:52

Bet on President Trump Mentions - State of the Union Address: Iran, Epstein, Biden, Primaries, More

In addition to the number of mentions and what the US president says first, you can also bet on the length of the State of the Union address (over/under 91.5 minutes) and the number of standing ovations (over/under 64.5).

Submitted by t c jackson on, Tue, 02/24/2026 - 09:30

Bet on Trump's State of the Union Address 2026: Full Menu or Props and Odds Available

A large portion of America will tune in tomorrow night to President Donald Trump's first State of the Union Address during his second term.

Submitted by Press Release on, Mon, 02/23/2026 - 17:52

These Alien Abduction Odds Are Out of This World

President Donald Trump announced Thursday that he would direct federal agencies to begin releasing government records related to aliens and UFOs, citing what he called strong public interest in the subject.

Submitted by Press Release on, Sun, 02/22/2026 - 07:19

Prince Andrew Conviction Odds: No the Favorite But Still Close

Prince Andrew in old photo with Jeffrey Epstein victim and accomplice

Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, the younger brother of King Charles III and the artist formerly knowns at Prince Andrew, has been arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office.

Submitted by Press Release on, Thu, 02/19/2026 - 17:11

Betting Market: Will Prince Andrew Be Sentenced to Prison?

The shock arrest of Prince Andrew Thursday has led one prediction market to begin offering trading on whether the disgraced former prince will ultimately be sentenced to prison.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Thu, 02/19/2026 - 16:04

Next Person to Be Arrested Over Epstein Files as Former Prince Andrew Jailed

News that Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor has been arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office has sent shock waves across the globe Thursday morning.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Thu, 02/19/2026 - 09:07

Will Stephen A. Smith Be on Democratic Primary Ballot? Oddsmakers Say NO

Stephen A. Smith with American flag backdrop

Stephen A. Smith’s aspirations have transcended the sports desk.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 02/17/2026 - 18:38

Kalshi Resolves Bernie Sanders Greensboro, North Carolina Rally Mentions as 'No' Despite Reports He Said These Things

Bernie Sanders speaking in Greensboro, NC

Kalshi chooses to rely on transcripts from specified news organizations, each of whom were apparently banned from the event.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Sun, 02/15/2026 - 15:25

Betting Market: Will Anyone Be Jailed Over Epstein Files Disclosures?

18 percent believe there will be individuals arrested with over $150,000 in trading volume thus far.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Sun, 02/15/2026 - 14:09

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? Prediction Markets Say NO

Trading began at Polymarket on Thursday February 12 with Bondi opening with a 38% chance but that number dropped to 8% by Friday afternoon.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Fri, 02/13/2026 - 12:56

Polymarket: House Republicans Announce Probe Into Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl Performance: Betting Market Coming?

Considering Polymarket was among the first to break the news that Bad Bunny is the subject of a GOP probe, we would anticipate a Bad Bunny betting market on this matter. None yet as this was going to press.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Fri, 02/13/2026 - 10:08

Péter Magyar Sex Tape Release: Trading Volume Gets Hot and Heavy at Polymarket

'My conscience is clear': Hungary's opposition leader said amid a sex tape scandal.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 02/12/2026 - 23:22

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Sees Nearly $3 Million in Trading Volume

The Bangladesh National Party (BNP) won a decisive two-thirds majority on Friday in general elections, a result expected to bring stability after months of tumult following the ouster of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina in a Gen Z-led uprising.

Submitted by t c jackson on, Thu, 02/12/2026 - 22:46

2 Israelis Charged With Using Classified Military Information to Place Bets

Two Israelis have been charged with using classified military information to place bets on how future events will unfold, Israeli authorities said Thursday, accusing the individuals of “serious security offenses.”

Submitted by Associated Press on, Thu, 02/12/2026 - 19:27

Titus Files Discharge Petition in Effort to Pass Measure Reversing Gambling Tax

Nevada Congresswoman Dina Titus made a major announcement Thursday afternoon in regard to her FAIR BET Act, which looks to remove a gambling tax that was part of The Big Beautiful Bill.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Thu, 02/12/2026 - 15:40

Keir Starmer Out By July According to Prediction Markets

Lawmakers have rallied around British Prime Minister Keir Starmer after some in his center-left party questioned the PM's judgment in appointing Peter Mendelson to the high-profile diplomatic post in 2024 despite his ties to the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Submitted by Jagajeet Chiba on, Tue, 02/10/2026 - 16:15

ICE Super Bowl Prop Bets: Raiding of a Tailgate Party Has Short Odds While Player Signage Pays Out $800

There are also Green Day prop bets pertaining to ICE mentions.

Submitted by Jordan Bach on, Sat, 02/07/2026 - 11:45

Bet on the Clintons Epstein Testimony: Will They Walk Out, Exercise 5th Amendment, Get Indicted, More

Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton testifying before congress

Former U.S. President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton have agreed to provide testimony to a congressional committee investigating the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Submitted by Press Release on, Tue, 02/03/2026 - 19:33

Top Trending: Adelson, Massie News Draws Massive Readership as Story Goes Viral

Nothing - and we mean nothing - is coming close to the amount of readership for our story pertaining to a superPAC backed by Vegas casino mogul, Miriam Adelson, purchasing a massive television ad buy against Kentucky Republican congressman Thomas Massie.

Submitted by C Costigan on, Mon, 02/02/2026 - 20:24

Trump and ICE Super Bowl Prop Bets Take Center Stage: ICE Raid a San Francisco Stadium, X and Truth Social Posts

Trump flanked by ICE agents at Super Bowl creative only (not real)

A raid by ICE agents at Levi's stadium features a price of -500 on the NO. Still a little too close for comfort with the YES at just 3-1 odds.

Submitted by Ean Lamb on, Mon, 02/02/2026 - 18:30

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