Should I Bet on the Oakland A's JP Sears?

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Jun/11/2023

Should bettors back JP Sears of the Oakland A's in today's game?  Let's take a thorough look below.

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Phillies @ Athletics

(June 16, 2023) - Sears gets his first win of the season having pitched quite well in recent games.  We do expect him to take a step back here. 

A 6-3 Taijuan Walker starts for Philadelphia too.

Athletics @ Brewers Recap

(June 11, 2023) This one looked like it might be a push coming into the 9th inning after there was a scoring frenzy early on with the total at 8.  Don't let the final score fool you.  Six of the 14 runs were scored in the 9th inning. 

With Sears getting his first win after a series of strong starts, expect him to come down a notch his next start.  That should be hosting the A's on Friday night and we should get a good enough price on Oakland since they'll be at home starting a good pitcher and playing a team near the .500 mark.

The Brewers, by the way, got swept in this one.

Athletics @ Brewers Pick

(June 11, 2023) Sears has been insanely good of late but has yet to get a win.  He's 0-3 with a 4.20 ERA in 12 starts (64.1 innings pitched) this season.  Sadly, this is all about the lackluster Athletics.

Oakland is a +170 dog in this one as they are playing in Milwaukee.

The Brewers have the sixth-fewest runs per game in MLB while fanning at an above average 24.3% clip with a righty on the hill.

The total here is 8.  The Over was seeing greater than 65% of the action yet the oddsmakers have brought this one down from 8.5 to 8.

Oakland has allowed more than four runs in four of their last ten games.  They've scored more than this number in half of the last ten.

Milwaukee has scored more than four runs in four of their last ten games.

Nine of the last ten meetings between these two teams have failed to go Over 8 runs.

What's to Love Here

  • Sears has been outstanding of late but is without a win and certainly "due"
  • Oddsmakers have moved the total down from 8.5 to 8 despite much of the action on the Over
  • Brewers have the 6th fewest runs per game
  • Three of the last four games Sears has started in have stayed Under the current total of 8
  • Sears has the ability to pitched to the 7th inning and kept his pitch count low his last start
  • Peralta hasn't had a win since May 21
  • Peralta struck out nine while allowing two runs in five innings Tuesday against the Orioles.

What Scares Us a Little

  • The Athletics just aren't very good

Freddy Peralta (5-5, 4.55 ERA) needs a win bad here too.  He hasn't had one since May 21.

Peralta struck out nine while allowing two runs in five innings Tuesday against the Orioles.

Do take the UNDER 8 here.

Gambling911.com Plays

Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W

Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L

Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W

Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W

Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W

Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W

Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W

Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W

Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W

Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L

Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L

Tuesday May 23 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Cleveland Guardians (Logan Allen) - Pick - Under 8.5 W

Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)

Thursday May 25 Gambling911.com Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W

Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L

Saturday May 27 - San Diego Padres (Michael Wacha) vs. New York Yankees (Luis Severino) - Pick Yankees -155 W

Saturday May 27 - Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer) - Pick - Orioles L

Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L

Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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