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NLCS Concludes Tuesday Night With Phillies or Diamondbacks Advancing to World Series

Written by:

Don Shapiro

Published on:

Oct/24/2023

Whichever team advances in the NLCS Tuesday night will head to the World Series and face off against the Texas Rangers.

Line Movement and Betting Volume for the Diamondbacks-Phillies

Arizona extends this series to 7 games following a big win Monday night. They place Brandon Pfaadt on the mound and Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez. The Phillies are a -155 favorite in this one. The total opened at 8.5 and had dropped down to 8 most books by Tuesday morning with 62% of the action on the UNDER.

79% of the moneyline action was on Philadelphia, down from 90%. We've seen the number as low as -155 and as high as -180.

Looks Who's Starting

Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) starts for Arizona.

Don't let the regular season record fool you. Pfaadt recorded a career-high nine strikeouts over 5 2/3 shutout innings on Thursday in the Diamondbacks’ win over the Phillies in Game 3 of the NLCS. Prior to that he fired 4 1/3 shutout innings on Wednesday in the Diamondbacks’ win over the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.

The last four games he has started have resulted in wins for Arizona.

Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) will take to the mound for Philadelphia.

In 93 appearances against Suarez, the Diamondbacks have only managed to hit a single home run. They have 23 hits and 8 RBIs.

Suarez posted seven strikeouts over 5 1/3 scoreless innings on Thursday in the Phillies’ loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 3 of the NLCS.

Rangers Advance

As noted, the winner of this game goes on to play the Texas Rangers in this year's World Series.

Adolis García powered the Rangers to their first World Series since 2011.

García homered twice and drove in five runs as the Texas Rangers reached their first World Series in 12 years with an 11-4 blowout of the Houston Astros in Game 7 of the AL Championship Series on Monday night.

Corey Seager got the Rangers started with a long homer in a three-run first inning. Nathaniel Lowe also went deep to give Texas — one of six major league teams without a World Series title — its first berth in the Fall Classic since consecutive trips in 2010 and 2011.

It's easy to forget that this is a Rangers team that endured some rough patches back in August that included an 8-game slide and a 4-16 stretch.

Rangers vs. Phillies Game and Player Prop Bets

Team to Score First Wins
Total Hits O/U 16.5
Total Runs+Hits+Errors in 1st Inning O/U 2.5
Either Pitcher to throw a Complete Game
Team to Score Last
Perfect Game
Blown Save in game
Team with Most Hits
Will there be a score in 1st Inning
Will there be Extra Innings
A Hit in every inning
A Run scored in every Inning
Either Pitcher to Throw a No-Hitter
Team to Score First

More Player Props

Rot    Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Outs    Moneyline
1701    Over 11½ Outs    Ev
1702    Under 11½ Outs    -140
Must Start
Rot    Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Outs    Moneyline
1703    Over 10½ Outs    -150
1704    Under 10½ Outs    +110
Must Start
Rot    Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Strikeouts    Moneyline
1705    Over 4½ Strikeouts    +110
1706    Under 4½ Strikeouts    -150
Must Start
Rot    Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Strikeouts    Moneyline
1707    Over 2½ Strikeouts    -180
1708    Under 2½ Strikeouts    +140
Must Start
Rot    Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Earned Runs    Moneyline
1709    Over 1½ Earned Runs    -140
1710    Under 1½ Earned Runs    Ev
Must Start
Rot    Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Earned Runs    Moneyline
1711    Over 1½ Earned Runs    -110
1712    Under 1½ Earned Runs    -130
Must Start
Rot    Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Hits Allowed    Moneyline
1713    Over 3½ Hits Allowed    +120
1714    Under 3½ Hits Allowed    -160
Must Start
Rot    Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Hits Allowed    Moneyline
1715    Over 3½ Hits Allowed    -120
1716    Under 3½ Hits Allowed    -120
Must Start
Rot    Lourdes Gurriel (ARI) Total Bases    Moneyline
1821    Over 1½ Bases    +145
1822    Under 1½ Bases    -190
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot    Ketel Marte (ARI) Total Bases    Moneyline
1823    Over 1½ Bases    +110
1824    Under 1½ Bases    -150
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot    Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Total Bases    Moneyline
1825    Over 1½ Bases    +170
1826    Under 1½ Bases    -240
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot    Alec Bohm (PHI) Total Bases    Moneyline
1827    Over 1½ Bases    +120
1828    Under 1½ Bases    -160

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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