Saints vs. Panthers Week 2 Betting Line Analysis

Gambling911.com takes a look at the line movements in the Saints-Panthers Week 2 game and what we can learn.

The Key Takeaways

• The Panthers have played the Saints well in recent years even though the Saints are 5-1 in that span.
• Early indications are that the oddsmakers are trying to get action on New Orleans despite the Saints seeing 80% of the action.

The Breakdown

BetOnline Line Movement

09/15 1:52 pm-3 -125+3 +105

09/15 11:06 am-3½ -111+3½ -109

09/15 9:52 am-3½ -108+3½ -112

09/14 5:42 pm-3½ -105+3½ -115

09/14 12:56 pm-3½ -111+3½ -109

09/14 12:02 pm-3½ -105+3½ -115

09/13 8:41 pm-3½ -113+3½ -107

09/13 7:07 pm-3 -130+3 +110

09/13 3:37 pm-3 -125+3 +105

09/13 3:18 pm-3 -122+3 +102

09/13 12:04 pm-3 -120+3 +100

09/13 10:34 am-3 -123+3 +103

09/13 8:04 am-3 -118+3 -102

09/12 8:50 pm-3 -115+3 -105

09/12 7:49 pm-3 -109+3 -111

09/12 7:34 pm-3 +100+3 -120

09/12 7:03 pm-3 -110+3 -110

Watch this one carefully.  BetOnline was still teasing the -3 Wednesday after bringing this one up to -3.5.  If BetOnline continues this trend along with the likes of Heritage, Pinnacle and Bookmaker, this could be an indication that the books are feeling good about a Carolina cover.  BetAnySports, an offshore of 5Dimes, is also posting aggressive lines of late.  BetOnline was seeing 90% of the spread action on New Orleans.  This was true across the board.

Even Bovada moved this one up to -4 and dropped to -3.5.

But the Saints are rated the highest of any team this week (26.57).  Carolina is at 19.10 but gets the home field advantage tacked on to give them a rating of 21.59.  This still gives us a line of Saints -5. 

With Drew Brees, Carolina had managed to lose by a field goal in three of the last six meetings.  They also won a game during this span. 

Sam Darnold completed 24-of-35 passes for 279 yards with a touchdown and zero interceptions in the 19-14 win against the Jets.

And then there was Jameis Winston who outplayed Aaron Rodgers in a blowout 38-3 win.

Winston is no Drew Brees and we can't overemphasize that the Panthers are more familiar with the Saints than Green Bay was.

Gambling911.com sees Carolina covering the +3.5 with another field goal loss or a win.

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com