NFL Betting – Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

There is an interesting turn of events taking place in Green Bay this season. For the first time in awhile the Packers are winning thanks to their defense. Allowing the second-fewest points per game in the NFL, the Packers are off to their first 3-0 start since 2015 and they can make life miserable for the Philadelphia Eagles when the NFC heavyweights square off on Thursday Night Football. Philly hasn’t missed by much losing their last two games by a combined total of seven points. However, they are losses and only one team since the merger has rebounded from a 1-3 start to win the Super Bowl. The current NFL betting line has the hosts laying 4.5-points.

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Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Date and Time: Thursday, September 26, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET

Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Opening NFL Odds: Green Bay -3, O/U 48

Eagles at Packers TV Coverage: FOX, NFL Network

Odds Analysis

There’s been a lot of shifting on the line for this one, which opened Green Bay -3. A dispirited group of Eagles backers has stayed away allowing the Pack to get plenty of action on the early line pushing the spread as high as -5.5 at one point. There has been some buyback with the spread settling at its current -4.5. We’ve seen a volatile total as well. There was a slight uptick from the opening 48, but the number has declined since to settle at 46. The underdog has fared well on Thursday night going 3-0 SU while every contest has played below the closing total.

Philadelphia Eagles

This isn’t the start to the season the Eagles envisioned, but it is still early. Philly will lament the number of opportunities that slipped away last week in a loss to the Lions. Mainly the eight dropped passes that the stat crew credited them with. People mess up and mistakes happen, but eight drops is ridiculous from a group of professional pass catchers. And for the second week in a row there was a key drop that could have potentially been a touchdown. Philly lost by four at Atlanta two weeks ago and fell by three to Detroit. I hate to play the ‘what if’ game, but had things gone Philly’s way we’d be looking at a battle of unbeatens.

However, it’s not just the drops that are plaguing the Eagles. They haven’t produced much of a pass rush this season allowing opposing quarterbacks to get too comfortable in the pocket. Against a beleaguered Falcons line Philly got to Matt Ryan just once. And they didn’t record a sack on Matthew Stafford last week. The two combined for 521 passing yards and four touchdowns.

The Eagles were favored in each of their first three games so maybe getting points this week will change their luck. A late touchdown in the opener allowed the Redskins to get a back door cover and the Eagles lost outright while laying a point to Atlanta and four points to Detroit. However, in their last 11 games as a road dog the Eagles are just 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS.

Green Bay Packers

If the Green Bay offense comes around and the defense continues to play as well as it has, the Packers are a serious threat to end their two-year playoff drought. And who would’ve thunk it? With a healthy Aaron Rodgers the Pack is being led by its defense. “We gotta play a lot better on offense. The standard and the expectations are very high here and we haven’t met them,” Rodgers said.

Rodgers hasn’t been bad completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 647 yards and four touchdowns. Those aren’t Rodgers-like numbers, though. He’s averaging just 218 yards per game. With a stingy defense, Rodgers doesn’t have to win games with his arm, but he would like the group to produce more, and it starts with him.

The Packers’ dip into the free agent market this offseason has proven to be a worthwhile investment. The additions of Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith have transformed the unit. The duo combined for six quarterback hits and five sacks in last week’s win over Denver. As a group the Packers have four interceptions and 12 sacks, tying for third-most in the league in each category. The Pack covered in their 27-16 win over the Broncos last week to improve to 3-0 ATS.

Bet Eagles at Packers at BookMaker.eu

This is a huge game for each side for different reasons. Obviously, the Eagles don’t want to fall to 1-3. For the Pack this is their third home game in the opening month. With a lot of road games upcoming it’s important to stash victories. Giving Rodgers time in the pocket will certainly help the Packers overcome their offensive problems. And Green Bay’s defense is for real, which isn’t good for Carson Wentz.

NFL Score Prediction: Green Bay 24, Philadelphia 16

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- This article courtesy of Phil Simon and Bookmaker.eu

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