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MLB Futures – Miami Marlins 2020 World Series Odds

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:
Mar/20/2020


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It’s been a decade since the Miami Marlins had a winning season and it certainly doesn’t look like things will change in 2020. Coming off a 105-loss campaign, the Fish are going through rebuilding pains. When a member of the team’s ownership group is the face of the franchise there are some serious hurdles to overcome. There are few recognizable names on the roster to fans outside Miami. Heck, so few fans show up to games the players are anonymous even in their hometown. They may improve in 2020, but the Marlins aren’t a threat and should be left alone even with tempting +70000 World Series odds.

2020 Miami Marlins World Series Odds at BookMaker.eu

Miami Marlins +70000

2020 Miami Marlins Overview

Wanting to improve and actually doing it are two different things. The Marlins were the worst team in the National League the last two seasons, which was expected after tearing down the foundation and starting over. There is a precedent for this type of behavior. The Astros suffered through three straight seasons of at least 100 losses before emerging from the abyss.

Cultivating the young talent got Houston three straight 100-win seasons, two World Series appearances and a title. It’s premature to think the Marlins are on the same path and in all likelihood they are another season or two away from even competing in their own division, let alone for a playoff spot. But the prospects acquired in a roster purge a few years ago are ready to make their mark on the field.

Being arguably the worst team in perhaps the toughest division in baseball is not a treat. The Marlins need to show better against their NL East brethren first. They were a combined 24-52 against division foes last season, and that included a 10-9 mark against the Phillies. A shortened season could benefit a young, enthusiastic club like Miami.

Pitching

It’s young and unknown, but the starting rotation has a chance to be decent. Last season the Marlins posted a 4.74 staff ERA and issued a MLB-high 615 bases on balls. A year of seasoning for presumptive ace Sandy Alcantara and others should be beneficial. Alcantara was just 6-14, but his other measurables were good. He allowed 179 hits with 151 strikeouts over 197.1 innings with a 3.88 ERA.

Caleb Smith led the staff with 10 victories sporting a 4.52 ERA in 28 starts. He struck of 26 percent of the batters he faced averaging nearly 10 Ks per 9/IP, but he surrendered a league-high 33 homers. Jordan Yamamoto slides into a top-three role in the rotation after going 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 78.2 frames in 2019.

The top of the rotation is set leaving the bottom part up for grabs with guys like Pablo Lopez, Elieser Hernandez and Robert Dugger looking to stick. They won’t strike fear in opponents and the trio is just a band-aid until arms in the minors are developed.

There aren’t a lot of save opportunities when you win 56 games. Improving the bullpen was an offseason quest of management after the group collected 27 saves and posted a negative WAR. The group struggled over the final two months after saves leader Sergio Romo was dealt. A set up man the last two seasons, Brandon Kintzler gets a chance to close. He saved 29 games in 2017. Jose Urena’s three saves are the most for any returning player.

Hitting

With balls leaving the yard with regularity and runs scored at a record pace in 2019, the Marlins kept the league averages down. They ranked last in MLB in home runs and next to last in runs scored. Improving at the dish was a bigger area of need than the bullpen.

Several veterans were brought in to address the situation. Jesus Aguilar was an All-Star two years ago belting 35 home runs with 108 RBIs for the Brewers. He had only 12 homers between two teams last season and was claimed off waivers. Jonathan Villar hit .274 with 24 homers for the Orioles in 2019. Corey Dickerson will also get a chance to take an outfield spot.

The Marlins need an infusion of pop after hitting 146 home runs and averaging 3.8 runs per game. Shortstop Miguel Rojas had the highest batting average among regulars last season at .284 and there isn’t much after him. Continued development among the young players and bounce back seasons from the veterans will make the offense more productive. That’s not a huge task considering how bad the Marlins were in 2019.

2020 Miami Marlins World Series Pick

You need to think baby steps in the middle of a rebuild. The Marlins should win more games than last season with the goal being to avoid triple-digits in the loss column. The NL East is too tough and the Marlins aren’t in a position to think about playoffs. Throwing down on this team to win the World Series is a waste of money.

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- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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