Polymarkets

Polymarket is a decentralized information markets platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events using crypto. It leverages the "wisdom of the crowd" to provide real-time, data-driven probabilities on everything from elections to global news.

NFL Moves to Rein In Prediction Markets Amid Manipulation Fears

NFL logo
David Purdum of ESPN reports that the NFL sent out letters to various prediction markets on Sunday requesting that they refrain from offering certain trades that can easily be manipulated beforehand.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Hot Betting Market: Emmanuel Macron Out By June

Macron
French President Emmanuel Macron's term remains constitutionally secure until May 2027, insulated from no-confidence votes that repeatedly target prime ministers amid the hung parliament resulting from 2024 snap legislative elections.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

What Are the Restrictions Betting the Fighting Illini Online From Illinois?

Illinois welcome sign
The main restriction is you can't bet them at all with a regulated website. Now doesn't that suck!
Submitted by Don Shapiro on,

Prediction Market Tracker April 2026: Who Are the Industry Players Right Now?

Prediction markets
Gambling911.com continues to monitor the prediction market space as well as any newcomers to the sector as we enter April 2026.
Submitted by Aaron Goldstein on,

AOC Slams Prediction Markets as Offering 'Just a Fig Leaf' to Appease Lawmakers

AOC
Following Monday's news that two lawmakers had introduced legislation that would prevent prediction markets from offering sports event contracts, market leaders Kalshi and Polymarket were quick to introduce guardrails.
Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on,

Lawmakers Introdcue Legislation Prohibiting Sports Bets at Prediction Markets

Sports betting and prediction markets
Utah Sen. John Curtis and California Sen. Adam Schiff are leading a bipartisan push to prevent prediction markets from offering events contracts on sports. The legislation is called the “Prediction Markets are Gambling Act".
Submitted by Gilbert Horowitz on,

Kalshi Out of Nevada....for Now

Kalshi
A Nevada judge has temporarily prevented the federally licensed Kalshi from operating in the state.
Submitted by Aaron Goldstein on,

Bill To Ban Prediction Markets from Enabling Officials to Bet On and Profit Off of War

Iran conflict
Recent suspicious activity on prediction markets has raised serious questions about whether certain government insiders are using government secrets to make significant personal profit by placing anonymous bets on online gambling platforms.
Submitted by t c jackson on,

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig Says Arizona AG Actions Against Kalshi 'Jurisdictional' Not 'Criminal'

Kalshi
Arizona became the first state to file criminal charges against Kalshi on Tuesday, accusing the prediction market company of operating an illegal gambling business within its borders, a significant escalation in the fight to regulate the popular platform.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Arizona AG Files 20 Misdemeanor Charges Against Prediction Market Kalshi

Arizona Kalshi
"Kalshi may brand itself as a 'prediction market,' but what it's actually doing is running an illegal gambling operation and taking bets on Arizona elections, both of which violate Arizona law," said AG Kris Mayes. "No company gets to decide for itself which laws to follow."
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Kalshi Sues Arizona State Regulators

Arizona license plate
"Bold move considering CA9 intra-circuit precedent favoring states, but preferable to an all-but-certain state court TRO," writes gambling attorney Daniel Wallach. 
Submitted by C Costigan on,

CFTC's Publishes Prediction Market Guidance

CFTC
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Market Oversight on Thursday March 12 issued a prediction markets advisory regarding the listing for trading of event contracts.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Prediction Markets Have Cost States $600 Million in Lost Tax Revenue Over Last 12 Months

Prediction Markets
A Supreme Court decision on prediction markets likely won't happen until late 2027, if at all.
Submitted by Aaron Goldstein on,

Michigan Federal Court Rules Sports-Event Contracts Are Not 'Swaps'

Legal
In doing so, the state joins Nevada and Ohio as regulators fight to keep prediction markets out of their respective states.
Submitted by Alejandro Botticelli on,

Will the Price of Crude Oil Hit Above $200 By End of March Betting Market

Crude oil
The trading volume should exceed $8 million by Monday morning.
Submitted by Aaron Goldstein on,

Prediction Markets Deemed 'The Wildest Frat Party on Campus' By WSJ: Ohio Regulators Once Fined Sportsbook for Similar Practice

College student placing bets on phone
Kalshi spokeswoman confirms Kalshi 18- to 21-year-olds represent 3% of overall trading volume on the platform.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

In Bad Taste: Polymarket Gets Lambasted for Offering Nancy Guthrie Betting Market

Nancy Guthrie
Plus Kalshi under fire for Iran strike and Supreme Leader betting markets, including accusations of insider trading.
Submitted by Alejandro Botticelli on,

Former South Carolina Congressman, Acting White House Chief of Staff Forms Coalition Against Prediction Markets

Mick Mulvaney
Gambling Is Not Investing launched on Monday. it contends that federally regulated prediction markets are operating in states where sports betting is illegal and improperly bypassing state regulations and consumer protections.
Submitted by C Costigan on,

Six Accounts on Polymarket Made Out Like Bandits With American Israel Strike on Iran

Iran strikes
But was it really insider trading?
Submitted by t c jackson on,

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