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90% of the spread action was on Baltimore as a -7 road favorite versus Miami. 90% of the money line action was on the Ravens at -320. The line has moved up from -3 where it opened back in April. The current movement suggests the books are worried Baltimore will win by more than a touchdown.
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We had the Ravens as an early play for Survivor Pools and perhaps the money line, albiet you'll have to pay a hefty price (a $32 bet pays $10 with that $32 refunded should they win).
For our Survivor Pool play, we write:
Sure you can wait for a better team to face and crush the Dolphins, but why not hold onto your Patriots, Chiefs and Rams picks for more competitive matchups? Baltimore is at 33/1 odds to win the Super Bowl. The Dolphins have the longest odds and are favored to win four or fewer games this season (and that's probably being a little too generous). Did we mention the Ravens destroyed Miami 40-0 two years ago?
If you're betting the spread, we would recommend staying away from Baltimore should the books start moving back to -6.5 or -6.
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
