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NFL Survivor Pool Tips - 2019 Week 5

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/12/2019

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WEEK 7 

This is an easy one for us.  Buffalo (4-1) is a -17 point favorite at home against the Miami Dolphins.  It's a great week to take the Bills, and this will be our main play for Week 7.

Other potential good plays include the Green Bay Packers hosting Oakland, the Jaguars in Cincinnati, The Giants hosting Arizona, the 49ers in Washington, and the Seahawks hosting Baltimore.

Next week we have an opportunity to take the Vikings, who host Washington, the Rams, who host Cincinnati, the Texans hosting Oakland and perhaps New England hosting Cleveland.  One can also consider the Steelers hosting Miami Monday night.  The Steelers are a -16.5 early favorite.

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore, Week 2 Kansas City Week 3 Dallas Week 4 San Diego Week 5 Chicago Week 6 New Orleans

WEEK 6 

That didn't take long.  Chicago knocked us out in Week 5 with their shock loss to the Oakland Raiders. Oh well.

This week is particularly difficult depending on whether you've selected winning teams already.

As an example, do you really want to pick either the Redskins or Dolphins in thei Sunday matchup?  Washington is a -3.5 favorite after opening at -4.5.  The public is backing Miami heavily on the spread.

We already picked Kansas City - PLAY - a team that we believe will rebound in a big way in Week 6.

We'd also likely be on Baltimore - PLAY - if we hadn't already chosen them in Week 1.

The Saints - PLAY - are number 2 in the consensus power rankings across the Net, including NFL.com and ESPN.com.  They are a +2.5 underdog in Jacksonville.  The public is backing the Jaguars on the spread.  They are temping to pull the trigger.

The Chargers have one of the largest spreads this week but they just lost to Denver (at home no less).  Pittsburgh has lost its game by very narrow margins (hence the 3-2 record Against The Spread).

In the end, we just keep coming back to the Saints as our play of the week.

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore, Week 2 Kansas City Week 3 Dallas Week 4 San Diego Week 5 Chicago

WEEK 5

The Bears - As an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, Oakland is 3-12 Straight Up over the last three seasons.  Chicago looks like the better team here, playing in London.  The Bears will be today's Survivor Poll play

The Saints - PLAY - In road games, Tampa Bay has gone 4-14 Straight Up over the last three seasons.  As a favorite, New Orleans is 23-5 Straight Up over the last three seasons.  In home games, the Saints are 17-4 SU.

Minnesota - PLAY - As an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, the Giants are 4-13 Straight Up over the last three seasons.  As a favorite, Minnesota is 20-5 over the last three seasons.

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore, Week 2 Kansas City Week 3 Dallas Week 4 San Diego

WEEK 4

The Chargers, while not as convincing a play this season as say last year, will come into Week 4 as the biggest favorite of the week at -14.  That's because they are playing the Miami Dolphins, in Miami no less.

We can't think of a better time to take the LA Chargers and, as such, they will be our play for this weekend

Seattle - PLAY - Coming off a home field smackdown last week, the Seahawks head to Arizona.  They are 14-5 Straight Up as a favorite over the past three seasons.

Jacksonville - PLAY - As a favorite the last three seasons, Denver is just 4-12 Against The Spread. 

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore, Week 2 Kansas City Week 3 Dallas

WEEK 3

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore, Week 2 Kansas City

We came through nicely with our Week 2 pick on the Chiefs.  This week it's all about getting a team that is a -20 plus favorite and playing a team that is considered the worst in the NFL, the Miami Dolphins.

Yes, we will be on the Dallas Cowboys this day.  This is not a team we are hundred percent confident will be able to deliver they way they have these first two weeks, beyond Week 3 that is. 

The Ravens and Cowboys were two teams we suggested last week and came through nicely.

WEEK 2

Gambling911.com Teams Already Used: Week 1 Baltimore

Our favorite play from last week was Baltimore, and boy did they come through big time.  As such, we will note the Ravens whenever they look good in a particular week, but they can no longer be our top play.

Dallas Cowboys - PLAY - Sure Washington played well versus the Eagles last week, but Dallas is an impressive 11-2 Against The Spread versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.  Dallas has won seven of the last ten outright versus Washington.

Baltimore Ravens - PLAY - As noted, we can't use the Ravens again since they were last week's top play.  But the Cardinals are a 2-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.  It helps that the Ravens are a -13 favorite versus Arizona.

Kansas City Chiefs - PLAY - Let's do this.  The Chiefs will be our TOP PLAY OF THE WEEK.  The Raiders won against Denver and the letdown should be upcoming against this solid Chiefs squad that has beaten the Raiders in eight of their last ten.  The home team is 5-0 Against The Spread, but WHAT HOME when it comes to the Raiders as they are essentially homeless for the moment while getting ready to move to Vegas. Versus division opponents, the Chiefs are 10-2 over the last three seasons. 

WEEK 1

Chicago Bears - PASS - Though the line is -3.5 on Chicago playing at home and they do look like the better team on paper, Green Bay has dominated the Bears in recent years, going 8-10 Straight Up.

Phildelphia Eagles - PLAY - A lot of NFL Survivor Pool players are going to look to get their Eagles pick out of the way in Week 1, and why not?  Philadelphia is a -9 home favorite against the Redskins.

Baltimore Ravens - PLAY - Sure you can wait for a better team to face and crush the Dolphins, but why not hold onto your Patriots, Chiefs and Rams picks for more competitive matchups?  Baltimore is at 33/1 odds to win the Super Bowl.  The Dolphins have the longest odds and are favored to win four or fewer games this season (and that's probably being a little too generous).  Did we mention the Ravens destroyed Miami 40-0 two years ago?  This was our play of Week 1.



Our Podcast Interview With PlayBalto.com Co-Founder Spencer Cassidy

New York Jets - PLAY - In our interview with Spencer Cassidy of PlayBalto.com the site's co-founder predicts these Jets will likely make the Playoffs.  The Jets won the last meeting, on the road in Buffalo.  While the Bills won last year at the Meadowlands, New York won their two previous home games in the series. 

Seattle Seahawks - PLAY - Seahawks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, so playing at home against the lowly Bengals as a big -8 favorite without even having to cover is certainly a sweet position to be in for NFL Survivor Pool players.  Without even looking ahead at the rest of the season, this is probably a good pick to make on a team favored to win at least 9 regular season games.   The Bengals have the third longest odds of winning the Super Bowl.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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