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One of the craziest spreads we at Gambling911.com have seen in some time: The Chiefs vs. Chargers line was actually in double digits. Some books had Kansas City at +10 heading into San Diego. SBG Global had this one at +9. The line initially opened at +7.
The spread was now getting even action, settling in at the higher number. The money line action was also even with Kansas City potentially paying out $34 for every $10 bet with an outright win. The UNDER 45.5 was getting 60 percent of the action.
What’s strange about this line is that Kansas City (8-4) comes into San Diego dominating the division with a two-game lead over San Diego (6-6).
Last week, the Chargers fell at home to the Raiders, a team they have had no trouble beating in recent years. With that loss, however, San Diego found themselves swept by Oakland this season. Up until this point, the Chargers had won 18 straight games during the month of December.
"It's obviously very disappointing we weren't able to play at the level we've been playing over the last month." San Diego head coach Norv Turner said after the game.
The Chiefs are certainly one of the league’s biggest surprises this season after years of underperforming.
“Nobody expected Kansas City to be where they are today,” says Don Shapiro of Gambling911.com.
Against The Spread, their record is actually 7-5, which suggests that oddsmakers were pretty quick to get on the Chiefs bandwagon this season. It’s not as if they have played a lot of close games. Kansas City has won two of their last three by 18 points. Last week’s win was an ATS loss hosting Denver with a final score of 10-6.
The Chiefs vs. Chargers line might not be especially surprising when one considers the recent head-to-head history. Kansas City has gone 1-5 over the last 6 games. Then again, they beat San Diego earlier this season. Could KC sweep the Chargers just as the Raiders have?
Here are some important betting trends to consider for this game:
The Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS following a Straight Up win. The Chargers are 7-2 Against The Spread following an ATS loss.
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
The Chiefs are having some trouble against teams in the AFC, going 0-4 ATS.
We can’t forget the Chargers 18 game winning streak during the month of December prior to their loss to Oakland last week. They are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games during the month of December. (edge: Chargers)
The Chargers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
