Raiders vs. Chargers Spread a Mystery at -13

Submitted by Ean Lamb on

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Ean Lamb

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It probably has something to do with the idea that San Diego is looking to avenge a loss in Oakland earlier this season but the idea that the Raiders vs. Chargers spread is listed at San Diego -13 does seem a bit odd.  After all, this is a Chargers team that just managed to go over .500 last week while the Raiders had a better record than their rivals for a few of those weeks.

Judging by the spread action, the betting public agrees with this number.  It was balanced as of Saturday evening.  The money line action was going towards San Diego at an 85 percent clip.  65 percent of those betting on the total were backing the OVER 44.5.

Bruce Gradkowski completed 17 of 32 passes for 252 yards and reinjured his shoulder, which will result in Jason Campbell once again starting for the Raiders on Sunday against San Diego.

"There was some good stuff and some inconsistency," Cable said of Gradkowski's play. "Again when you only have the ball a handful of times you don't get a real chance to go out and get some rhythm."

The Chargers, who started off this season especially slow, come into this game with a 6-5 record but have won four straight, will look to have their 19th consecutive December win on Sunday.  San Diego beat Indianapolis last weekend and have been averaging 33.3 points per game.

Here are some important trends to consider before betting the Raiders vs. Chargers spread or total. 

Prior to the Raiders earlier win against San Diego this season, the Chargers had gone 9-0 against Oakland.  The Raiders, however, have gone 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings of this series, thus offsetting any advantage San Diego might have had.  Furthermore, in the last 6 games between these two teams, the Chargers have only won once by more than the current spread.

The Raiders have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the AFC West.  The Chargers are 25-12-4 ATS in their last 41 vs. AFC West.

The Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.

The Raiders are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.  San Diego is 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Oakland is just 18-39 ATS in their last 57 games in December.  Compare that with San Diego being 10-3 ATS in their last 13 December games.  (edge: Chargers)

The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

The  Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

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