Patriots vs. Steelers Sunday Night Football Spread 4.5 to 5

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Patriots vs. Steelers

The Patriots vs. Steelers Sunday Night Football spread was hovering between 4.5 and 5 in favor of Pittsburgh depending on the sportsbook.  A little over 60 percent of the public backing was going towards New England on the spread in this game.  Money line action was even with the Patriots promising a $17.5 payout on every $10 bet should they win outright.  Just over 60 percent of the total action was on the OVER 45.  Both teams are being looked at as Super Bowl contenders. 

The Patriots last week suffered an embarrassing road loss to the surging Cleveland Browns.  This doesn’t necessarily bode well for the Steelers.  New England with Tom Brady have one lost two consecutive games twice in the past eight seasons.  As we have already seen, New England (6-2) bounced back from its first loss -- 28-14 against the New York Jets in Week 2 -- with five straight wins.

"We were out of sync all day," Brady said. "As an offense, we didn't do much to advance the ball, and that includes the quarterback. If we play like we played today we are not going to beat anybody."

The Steelers also come into this game at 6-2.  They have given up the fewest points per game in the league at 15.4 and are the league’s best team against the run, allowing just 58.3 yards per game.  The pass defense, on the other hand, has allowed an average of 272.8 yards the past four weeks.

"We find ways to win games," quarterback Ben Roethlisberger said. "That's what makes this team special in all phases. When one fails, another picks them up. I'm really proud of the way guys have played, and we proved that we can win close games when it counts. We've got a long way to go, but we know that."

The Patriots vs. Steelers Sunday Night football spread opened at -4.5 at most online sportsbooks so there has been little fluctuation throughout the week.  This will likely be one of the most wagered on games of the week.

Let’s review some trends related to this game, though they are not terribly impressive in our view.

New England has covered three of the last four in this series dating back to 2005.

The Patriots are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

The Patriots are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

- Dan Shapiro,

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