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NFL Betting Week 6 2010: Home Dogs Continue to Cash

Written by:
Carrie Stroup
Published on:
Oct/12/2010
NFL Betting Week 6 2010

For Sportsbook.com bettors that like to bet on NFL home dogs, the 2010 season has been a profitable one so far. If you are into football betting, reading on is a must, especially if you plan on betting the NFL games during Week 6…

This past weekend home underdogs went 3-1 both ATS and SU. That pushes the records of home underdogs to a profitable 19-10-1 (66%) ATS and 17-13 (57%) SU on the season.

Washington (+3) edged Green Bay 16-13 in overtime, Oakland (+7) knocked off San Diego 35-27, and Arizona (+6.5) downed New Orleans 30-20 with the help of three defensive touchdowns. The only home ‘dog to be defeated in Week 5 was Cleveland, which dropped a 20-10 decision to Atlanta.

The early betting lines for Week 6 show four home underdogs (with Denver hosting the Jets a likely fifth home underdog). Here are the four matchups, along with some important NFL betting trends info which supports more home dogs to cash this weekend. (Football Betting Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.com)

San Diego at St. Louis (+8.5)

The Chargers have been favored in all three of their road games this season and they are 0-3 both ATS and SU (Kansas City, Seattle, Oakland). The Rams are 2-1 both ATS and SU as a home underdog this season.

Play On - Any team (St. Louis) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season. (49-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.1%, +28.1 units. Rating = 3*).

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+5) 

Since barely covering the 4.5 spread in its opening night win over Minnesota (N.O. won by five), the Saints have gone 0-4 ATS. Play Against - Favorites (New Orleans) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. (33-11 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +20.9 units. Rating = 2*).

The Saints continue to be overvalued based on the fact that they are the reigning Super Bowl champs. Their offense just isn’t as potent as it was a year ago. The Saints have yet to score more than 25 points in any game this season after doing so in 12 of their first 13 games a year ago. In its 19 games last year (including playoffs), the Saints scored 30-plus on 12 occasions, including five games in which they scored over 40.

Indianapolis at Washington (+3)

The Colts have lost twice as road favorites already this year (Houston and Jacksonville), while the Redskins already boast a pair of victories as home underdogs (Dallas and Green Bay).

Play Against - Favorites (Indianapolis) - after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. (34-10 since 1983.) (77.3%, +23 units. Rating = 3*).

Play Against - Road teams (Indianapolis) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG). (24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*).

Tennessee at Jacksonville (+3) 

The Jaguars have won two straight games as underdogs (vs. Indianapolis, at Buffalo) while the Titans have lost two straight games as favorites (vs. Denver, vs. Pittsburgh).

Play Against - Road teams (Tennessee) - off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record on the season. (231-149 since 1983.) (60.8%, +67.1 units. Rating = 2*).

To cash-in on these 2010 Week 6 NFL betting trends or to simply check out NFL point spreads for Week 6, head over to Sportsbook.com now.  – Carrie Stroup reporting for Gambling911.com. 

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