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Falcons vs. Patriots Odds: Tom Brady Lawsuit Woes

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Sep/23/2009
Falcons vs. Patriots Odds

The Falcons vs. Patriots odds remained consistent across the board after opening at New England -6 ½. 

Tom Brady is facing the worst criticism of his playing career after blowing a game in the Meadowlands last weekend.  Now he's also facing a civil lawsuit related to his wedding.  How will all of this play out next weekend where the Patriots were listed as a -4 favorite to win at home against a red hot Atlanta Falcons team?

That is anybody's guess.  But it certainly can't be helping matters.

From ProFootballWeekly.com:

In early April, photographers looking to capture images of the Costa Rican nuptial celebration of Pats quarterback Tom Brady and his supermodel (without super powers) wife, Gisele Bundchen, allegedly found themselves having to move faster than a speeding bullet.

Now, the men who claim that the Brady and Bundchen goon squad shot at them have sued the happy couple in federal court in New York.

Brady wouldn't comment on the lawsuit when asked by reporters.

For now, the primary concern heading into this weekend's game against Atlanta is Brady's performance on the field.

In Week 2, Brady was pressured relentlessly by the Jets and, despite not being sacked, his timing was disrupted as he completed only 23 of 47. While the Falcons do not run as aggressive a defensive scheme as the Jets, they do possess one of the league's best pass rushers in John Abraham. Abraham is no stranger to taking down Brady. He played his first six seasons with the Jets and has five sacks against Brady in seven career games.

New England only managed to beat Atlanta by 3 points on the road their last meeting in 2005 when the Falcons were not very good.  New England was actually a -3 favorite in that one.

The most important stat we believe is New England's ability to bounce back following a loss, and their chances suddenly rise to around 70 person ATS.

The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

The Patriots are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss.

As good as this may seem though, the Patriots are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games.  Nonetheless, they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Falcons are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

About 65 percent of the spread action is on New England at Bookmaker.com.  But nearly 75 percent of the money line action is on the Falcons, with a payout potential of nearly $200 for every $100 bet if they win outright.

Matt Ryan has started hot and he is nearly matching Tom Brady in both passer rating and TD passes. In other words, the Falcons passing game should be able to match the struggling Patriots even on the road. The Patriots are favored because their run defense is expected to contain Michael Turner.

Gambling911.com will not be making a prediction on this game at this time.

Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher

 

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