Recent Polls Show Few Want Biden or Trump: So Who Then? We Have the Latest Odds

Written by:
Gilbert Horowitz
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Recent polls show that young people are overwhelmingly rejecting current U.S. President Joe Biden as a candidate in 2024.  As if that weren't bad enough, Biden still beats former U.S. President Donald Trump in theoretical head-to-head matchups when considering the entire voter pool.  In other words, most Americans want someone other than Biden or Trump.

The problem, of course, is that there are no clear cut party leaders outside of Biden and Trump.

Oddsmakers have Trump the default favorite to become next President of the United States.  Biden is actually nearing 5-1 odds.  Though Biden's popularity rating is quite low at an all-time low of 38.5%, there is also a commonly held belief that he will opt not to seek another term.  Biden will be 82 at the time he begins a second term, assuming that were to occur.

Here takes a look at other potential candidates in 2024 and their odds to become the next U.S. President.

Ron DeSantis

Technically DeSantis is a co-favorite at 3-1 odds with Trump but there are indications that the later is not entirely happy with the Florida Governor entering the race.  For his part, DeSantis has kept mostly mum.  Most folks believe he will throw his hat into the ring.

DeSantis is currently a GOP darling but all the hoopla surrounding Florida as "the free state" and the one everyone is moving to is starting to wear thin.  Florida cities including Miami and even Orlando are becoming too expensive for the average family to live.

When stacked up against DeSantis, the governor edged out Biden by a 47 to 46 percent margin in a recent UNH poll.  That's not exactly something the DeSantis folks should be celebrating as that is well within the margin of error.

Gavin Newsom

The California Governor is climbing the ladder and now sits at 20-1 odds to become the next U.S. President.  This is the same Newsom that nearly got recalled a year ago.  Californians mostly praised Newsom’s ability to guide the state through the COVID-19 pandemic.  Rising crime rates and homelessness have diluted his approval numbers.

Nonetheless, Newsom's approval rating sits just above the 50% mark.

Mike Pence

Diehard Trump backers might not be voting for Pence, but there is a segment of Republicans who might.  Pence could win Republican primaries and win over Independents in open primaries and the general election.  Some Democratic voters may even see Pence as having saved democracy.  In any event, oddsmakers have the former VP at 18-1 odds as of July 18, 2022.

Kamala Harris

The heir apparent to Biden and current Vice President, Harris hasn't exactly won over the public and seems to be going along for the ride with Biden's dropping approval rating.  A recent Statista survvey found that only 37 percent said they had either a very favorable or a somewhat favorable opinion of the first female Vice President.  Her odds were nearly three times as worse as that of Biden's at 12-1. 

JB Pritzker

The Illinois Democrat, JB Pritzker, is favored to win reelection versus Republican candidate for Governor Darren Bailey by 99%, according to

Right-leaning Newsmax claims he wants to be President.  BetOnline has him at 80-1 odds.

Glenn Youngkin

The Virginia Governor ran a nearly flawless campaign to win last year without much mention of Trump.  The oddsmakers have Youngkin at very long 100-1 odds despite some whispers of late.

- Gilbert Horowitz,

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