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This Central Florida vs. Marshall free College Football pick is courtesy of Pregame.com. You can bet on this game at SBG Global.
The Marshall Thundering Herd will host the Central Florida Knights in an ESPN clash starting at 8:00 EDT. The Thundering Herd will be hosting their 2nd primetime game of the season, as they hosted West Virginia earlier this year in an exciting finish. UCF is a team on the rise, despite being relatively unknown. The Knights are 5.5 road favorites tonight, with a total of 44.5 points expected.
Marshall is flat out struggling this year, as the are 1-4 both SU and ATS this season. Marshall was pummeled last week by Southern Mississippi, and the going doesn't get any easier this week. The Thundering Herd face a very stout team in UCF tonight. Marshall has lost the past 5 meetings against UCF, so revenge would certainly be sweet tonight at home. Because this game is at home, one would think Marshall will be ready to play with the type of effort they showed against WVA earlier this season. The Herd are struggling to score this season, as they are only averaging 19.2 PPG, 100th best in the nation. Surprisingly, the Herd are struggling run the football, as they don't have a player with more than 250 YDS rushing this season. Marshall's defense might be the most disappointing aspect of their season, as they are allowing opponents to average 35.4 PPG. The only thing working in the Herd's favor tonight is the fact they've had extra time to prepare for this league contest. Marshall has had 3 more days to prepare for tonight than UCF has. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Marshall is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
The Thundering Herd are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Under is 11-2 in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Central Florida played their best game last week, a complete 42-7 SU beatdown of UAB. The Knights are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS overall this year. The biggest reason for their success is their defense, as they've held their past 3 opponents to 17 PTS or fewer. The Knights are only allowing 13.8 PPG, 8th best in the nation. Heading into the brunt of their conference schedule, it can be assumed that this defense is only going to get even stronger. UCF has a potent rushing attack, as they average nearly 200 YPG on the ground, 32nd in the nation. For UCF to continue to be one of the best mid-majors in the country, they will have to better in the passing game. The Knights are only averaging 170 YPG through the air, 100th best in the country. UCF can win back to back games SU for the first time this season tonight. The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. The Knights are 6-0 ATS against a team with a losing record. UCF is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
The Knights are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games overall. The Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a SU win.
The Pregame.com Free Pick on this College Football game: Final score to be 23-17 in favor of the UCF Knights. The Under 44.5 is the Total of the Day!
