Free NBA Pick: Suns vs. Nuggets

Written by:
Johnny Detroit
Published on:
Apr/13/2010

This free NBA pick is for the Suns vs. Nuggets game and is courtesy of Pregame.com.  Visit Pregame.com for more free NBA picks.

The Phoenix Suns welcome the Denver Nuggets in a vital Western Conference game. Tonight will be fun, as this game is very important to each teams playoff seeding. The Suns are 6 point favorites, with a total of 216 points tonight. TNT will broadcast this game at 10:30 EDT.

Today easily represents one of the biggest regular season games in recent memory for Phoenix. The Suns are currently tied with both Denver and Utah for the 3rd seed in the Western Conference. The Suns have won 2 of the 3 meetings with Denver this season, while covering ATS in all 3 contests. The Suns have been the listed underdog in 2 of the 3 meetings this season. The Suns hosted the Nuggets at home on March 1st, and were only labeled as 2.5 favorites in that game. Phoenix has won 12 of their past 14 games SU, as they've been on a tear in the 2nd half of the season. Phoenix is 52-28 SU and 46-33-1 ATS overall this season. The Suns are 31-9 SU and 23-15-2 ATS in home games this season, including 6-2 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 PTS. Phoenix is 17-4 ATS this season against teams that allow more than 99 PPG this season. 5 different Suns players average more than 11 PPG this season, led by F Amar'e Stoudemire. Stoudemire is averaging team highs

of 23.1 PPG and 9 RPG this season for Phoenix. PG Steve Nash is having yet another MVP caliber season, as he leads the entire NBA with 11 APG this year.

The Suns are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite between 5 and 10.5 points. The under is 14-6 in the Suns last 20 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Center Robin Lopez continues to nurse a bad back. Lopez is listed as out tonight, as he will likely make his return during the playoffs.

Denver has had an interesting month, as they clearly aren't playing their best basketball. Despite their recent struggles, the Nuggets have persevered and have won 4 of their past 5 contests SU. Over their past 14 games, the Nuggets only have 2 wins ATS in that span. Clearly Denver is a bit overrated from an oddsmakers standpoint. The turmoil surrounding Coach Karl certainly can't be helping much, as the Nuggets seem out of sorts with the playoffs looming. Denver will be looking to tie the season series tonight against the Suns, in a crucial game. Denver is 52-28 SU and 34-40-6 ATS overall this season. Denver has been held to 98 PTS or fewer in each of their past 4 games. Today represents the last game of the regular season for Denver, yet it carries so much importance. The Nuggets consider themselves a title contender, so they clearly want their absolute best seeding possible. Denver is 19-21 SU and 16-20-4 ATS away from home this season. The Nuggets

have been successful in the underdog role this year, going 10-5 ATS this season. F Carmelo Anthony leads the Nuggets in scoring with 28.3 PPG, which also ranks him 3rd in the entire league.

The Nuggets are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Nuggets last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Nuggets are struggling with injuries to their top forwards. Both Joey Graham and Renaldo Balkman are dealing with injuries that are restricting them from helping the Nuggets. Graham is questionable with an injured ankle, while Balkman has been ruled out for tonight because of a bad back.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 114-111 in favor of the Phoenix Suns. The Over 216 is the Total of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com 

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