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Free Baseball Pick Saturday July 9, 2010
This free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com. Get all your free baseball picks at Pregame.com here.
The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves in a National League East battle. The Mets are trying to chase down the Braves for 1st place in the division prior to reaching the All-Star Break. The Braves are -114 favorites this afternoon, with a total of 7.5 runs expected. FOX will televise this game starting at 4:10 EDT.
New York has dominated the Braves this season, winning 4 of the 5 matchups. New York has been rather inconsistent of late however, and it's cost them in the standings. The Mets are currently 3 games behind their opponent today in the National League East division. New York is +8.56 and +24.75 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. P Michael Pelfrey will make the home start tonight, as he is an impressive 10-3 SU with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.36 this season. The Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 home games with the total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the National League East. New York is 9-4 in their last 13 home games against a right-handed starter. New York is 7-21 in their last 28 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Mets are 7-1 in Pelfrey's last 8 starts as a home underdog. The Mets are 4-1 in Pelfrey's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. New York is 5-2 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts against the National League East.
The Mets are 14-3 in their last 17 games as a home underdog. The Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning record.
Third Baseman Fernando Tatis has been ruled out today with a shoulder injury.
Atlanta has won 5 of their last 7 games, as they are one of only 2 teams in the National League with 50 wins. The Braves are an impressive 50-35 SU overall this season, leading the National League East by 3 games over their nearest competitor. Atlanta's pitching has been dominant of late, as only 2 of their previous 9 opponents have scored more than 3 runs. Atlanta is +10.71 and +9.82 units both SU and on the RL this season. P Tim Hudson will take the mound, and he is 8-4 SU with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.15 this year. The Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 games against the National League East. The Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Atlanta is 28-11 in their last 39 games against a right-handed starter. Atlanta is 7-1 in Hudson's last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Braves are 17-8 in Hudson's last 25 starts with 5 days of rest. The Braves are 3-9 in Hudson's last 12 starts against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 1-6 in Hudson's last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record.
The Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Right Fielder Jason Heyward is not expected to play this afternoon with a hand injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 4-3 in favor of the New York Mets. The Mets +102 is the Side of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
Submitted by Johnny Detroit on Sat, 07/10/2010 - 11:12