Today's Most Bet On - January 28: Public Loving the Warriors, G911 Liking the Pacers

Written by:
Tony Caliente
Published on:
Jan/28/2019

Yesterday, Gambling911.com gave Purdue a 64% chance of covering what was essentially a PICK'EM game against Michigan State, and the Boilermakers came through big.


START YOUR OWN SPORTSBOOK FOR JUST A SMALL FEE PER WEEK PER PLAYER HERE

Purdue's victory was a nice win for the books as 85% or more of the action was on MSU.

Today we see close to 90% of the early spread action on Golden State playing in Indiana.

The red hot Warriors are an -8.5 road favorite in this one, which on the surface may be considered nuts as the Pacers own a 32-16 record.

But the Pacers are now without star guard Victor Oladipo, who suffered a season-ending knee injury.

Books have been trending down a half point across the board.  Some now have Indiana at -8.

They did beat Golden State, a team in the midst of an extended road trip, by a significant margin in both games last season.  Previous to that they were owned by the Warriors.

Sagarin has yet to really factor in the injury to Oladipo.  They currently indicate a line of Golden State -1.5.  In other words, oddsmakers calculate Oladipo is worth 7 points, maybe more since he's been gone now for two games.

In the end, it's all about the obvious attempt by books to get more action on Golden State that demonstrates they have a strong opinion leaning towards the Pacers.

Bet365, Pinnacle and Bookmaker have all come down a half point despite the near 90% action on Golden State.  5Dimes has dropped from -9 to -8 this morning.

Myles Turner will likely be able to fill in the void to some degree, certainly enough to eat into the overshading with this line we would think.  Whether they can keep winning remains to be seen.

Gambling911.com is giving the Pacers a 57% edge here, and that is enough for a play at +9 (still available as of this writing), but as this was being published, most books had come down to +8.  We'd be giving the Pacers a better than 60% chance here if not for the uncertainties surrounding the post-Oladipo period.  Note also that the Warriors just played a tough one in Boston two days ago and are likely running out of gas.  Revenge is a factor here, but reaching an 8-point win margin will be tough.

The Warriors are not the only lopsided play.  Duke was seeing 95% of the early action against Notre Dame as a -15 road favorite.  This game wasn't seeing the type of action as the Warriors-Pacers.  Some books were flirting with the -14.5 and -14.  There is some indication that books have an opinion on Notre Dame but we won't be assigning an edge here.

Record So Far

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 7-5 (58.3%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 3-2 (60%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com

Sports Handicapping News

Most Bet on Sides, Games - February 16: Michigan, Vols-Wildcats

Most Bet on Sides, Games - February 16: Michigan, Vols-Wildcats

Gambling911.com has your most wagered on sides for the day - Saturday February 16, 2019 for the remainder of the day in addition to the early Noon and 1 pm College Basketball games.

Most Bet on Side February 16 - Louisville Cardinals: Gambling911 on Clemson

Gambling911.com has your most wagered on sides for the day - Saturday February 16, 2019.

Take That!  Pelicans Come Back From the Dead and G911 Notches A Nice Win

Take That! Pelicans Come Back From the Dead and G911 Notches A Nice Win

With all the drama in surrounding the New Orleans Pelicans, not to mention the poor play in their most recent games, picking the Pelicans Thursday night was the most dangerous play we here at Gambling911.com have made this season. 

Thunder-Pelicans Pick February 14

Thunder-Pelicans Pick February 14 ....G911 on NOLA

As much as we hate to do this, Gambling911.com is going to be taking the New Orleans Pelicans at +4.5. 

Most Bet on Sides - February 9

Michigan and Kentucky were the early most wagered on sides Saturday.

Syndicate