Philadelphia 76ers Betting Tips and Trends

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

As of January 5, the Philadelphia 76ers sit third best on the Sagarin Ratings.


January 6

Philadelphia has not covered against Utah at home within a 10 point spread in their last four meetings, however, the Jazz have struggled on the road and are 3-9 Against The Spread vs. teams with winning records with a spread above the 10.

The Sixers as a -10 or greater favorite are 6-2 Against The Spread.

Winners and Whiners: "Both teams are playing the second game of back-to-back situations here. Utah is playing their third game in four nights after playing overtime against the Pistons in Salt Lake City Wednesday and then in Boston Friday before heading here to Philadelphia. While the 76ers are playing the second game of a back-to-back here, they had two days off ahead of Friday’s game and were at home for that one, so they have no travel to speak of over the last several days.

One word of caution here: Joel Embiid (knee) is questionable for Saturday's game against the Utah Jazz.

Top Cappers: 76ers vs. Jazz: 2-1

January 5

The 76ers have beaten New York by double digits in two of their last three home meetings.  They lost the other game.  Philadelphia is 4-2 in the last six meetings but come in at -6.5.

The Sixers are 7-3 in their last ten games overall compared to the Knicks winning half of their last ten.  Philadelphia has covered the spread in seven of their last eight played at home.

New York plays tomorrow in DC while Philadelphia will host Utah at home.

Philadelphia scores the sixth most points and allows the fourth fewest.  They also have the second best free throwing in the NBA.

New York is only 14th in points scored and 12th in points allowed. Leading rebounder Mitchell Robinson is out injured for the Knicks.

December 30

There was some question as to whether Joel Embiid would be upgraded to seeing some playing time on Saturday.  As of early afternoon, the 76ers were a +2.5 dog in Chicago.  We get a line of Philadelphia 7.07 but that number does not factor in Embiid's absence.

Embiid injured his ankle and has missed the last three games.  The 76ers won each of their last three without him.

Another reason for the line being so off in this one is that the 76ers played last night.

From Winners and Whiners:

"The 76ers are going to be feeling fatigue after bouncing from Miami to Orlando to Houston to Chicago and it’s unclear as to whether they will potentially rest guys in this contest."

The Bulls are a bit banged up themselves however. 

December 27

The 76ers are a rare underdog here at +2.5 in Orlando.  The 76ers are 20-9 both Straight Up and Against The Spread coming into Wednesday night's game.  And we have the 76ers the team that should be favored by 2.5, not Orlando. 

The 76ers are 9-1 in the last ten meetings.

Orlando is playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here and has to fly home after being on the road in Washington Tuesday night.

2023 MVP Joel Embiid has been ruled out for Philadelphia in this game.

December 25

Philadelphia will be without their top player Joel Embiid for their Christmas Day game against the Miami Heat.

He improved his 30 and 10 streak to 13 games and had another MVP-level performance despite suffering the ankle injury in the first quarter.  Embiid played through the rest of that game but will be resting his ankle on Monday.

76ers Recent Line Trend November 17

The 76ers had been covering when the line is correct but failing to do so with their last two overlays (both on back-to-back night play).

November 17

The 76ers head to Atlanta with neither team coming off a game the night before or playing the night after. 

Atlanta comes in at No. 14 on Sagarin with a number of 90.98 plus home court advantage of 2.73.  That gives us 0.31 but still favoring Philadelphia (barely).

This one was on the money, having opened at 76ers -2 and correcting at -1.

Atlanta has played pretty well, having not lost two or more games in a row and coming off a loss here.  That last loss was at home against the Knicks by two points.

Philadelphia is covering when the line is where it should be and they've beaten Atlanta in the last three meetings.

Action was balanced for the most part.

November 15

11/8 - vs. Celtics - Boston 1.20, actual line Boston opened –1.5 and the line moved to –2.5.  Line was on the money to a slight 1 point overlay.  Philadelphia covers with a 3-point win.  Action was 63% Boston with the line moving in the right direction based on action coming in.   

11/10 at Pistons – Philadelphia 6.84, actual line Philadelphia –7 to –9 to –8.5.  Opened on the money and moved to a 2-point overlay.  Sixers win by 8 points and, for the most part, fail to cover as the line spent most of the time above the 8 with 8.5 and 9 being the number better than 75% of the time after this one was posted.  Action was around 80% Philly to 69% at close.  

11/12 vs. Pacers – Philadelphia 6.29, actual line 6.5 on the money.  Little in the way of any movement.  76ers win by 11 points to cover.  Action was balanced.   

11/14 at Pacers – Philadelphia 0.80 with the actual line 76ers –5 to –6.5. This was a significant 4 to 5.5 overlay.  Pacers (on their way to 7-4 this week) win by 6 points.  Pacers were seeing 65% at +5 yet books moved to the +6.5 with action still coming in on Indiana at a 65% clip.  

11/15 vs. Celtics - Boston 1.20, Actual line Celtics opened –3.5 moving to –5.5 and dropping back to –1, Overlay of 2 to 4 then On The Money, action 85% on Celtics at –5 and number brought down with action still high at 69% but WHY IS THE NUMBER FALLING?  Celtics do win and cover by 10 points.  Philadelphia had played the night before in Indiana and lost.  

- Don Shapiro,

Basketball Odds News