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These are the big Academy Awards "locks" where the favorite is almost guaranteed to win. The problem is, the risk versus reward is rather extreme. For example, -1000 means that a $100 bet will pay out $10. Sure, you're almost certain to walk off with a $10 profit, but you also need to be able to afford the off chance of losing that $100.
The good news for gamblers is there aren't a whole lot of high priced favorites. This means more competitive categories and the potential for higher payouts.
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Supporting Actor Moneyline
501 Ke H. Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once -5000
502 Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin +1200
505 Brian Tyree Henry - Causeway +2800
506 Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin +1200
507 Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans +3300
Ke H. Quan losing is about as likely as you winning the lottery. Let that one sink in.
There's only one problem. You'll need to bet $500 just to win $10. Ouch. Many books limit Oscar bets to a maximum of $250 or less.
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Cinematography Moneyline
625 All Quiet on the Western Front -1000
626 Elvis +400
627 Empire of Light +700
628 TAR +2200
629 Bardo or False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths +3300
All Quiet on the Western Front is a "lock". You'll never see the top-ranked MLB team with the best pitcher in the league starting anywhere close to a -1000 favorite against the worst team with the worst starter. That's how big a favorite -1000 represents. But we'd still put this one at around an 85% chance of happening. Remember those big snow storms that were supposed to happen when we were kids and the storm went out to sea? Well...
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Picture Moneyline
401 The Fabelmans +1600
403 TAR +3500
404 Everything Everywhere All at Once -1500
408 Women Talking +10000
411 The Banshees of Inisherin +1500
417 Top Gun: Maverick +1500
419 Elvis +10000
421 Triangle of Sadness +10000
422 Avatar: The Way of Water +10000
424 All Quiet on the Western Front +800
This year's Best Picture category features a rare lock. Typically this category has at least two competitive options. Here we have "Everything Everywhere All at Once" coming in at -1500.
More Oscar 2023 Locks
These are listed in order from largest to smallest.
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Visual Effects Moneyline
680 Avatar: The Way of Water -3000
681 Top Gun: Maverick +900
682 Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +800
683 All Quiet on the Western Front +2000
684 The Batman +3300
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best International Feature Film Moneyline
645 All Quiet on the Western Front -2200
646 EO +1200
647 Argentina, 1985 +600
648 The Quiet Girl +1200
649 Close +3300
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Animated Feature Moneyline
620 Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio -2500
621 Marcel the Shell with Shoes On +1000
622 Puss in Boots: The Last Wish +900
623 Turning Red +1500
624 The Sea Beast +2000
Rot 95th Academy Awards - Best Director Moneyline
301 Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans +450
304 Daniel Kwan - Everywhere Everything All at Once -1500
308 Todd Field - TAR +1400
313 Ruben Ostlund - Triangle of Sadness +5000
323 Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin +1200
- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com
