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This Phillies vs. Yankees free pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.
The New York Yankees host the Philadelphia Phillies tonight in a battle of championship caliber teams. No team in baseball has a better record than the Yankees, and the Phillies are former world champions. Pride will certainly be at stake tonight, which makes the game that much more important to watch. The Yankees are -160 favorites, with a total of 10 runs expected tonight. This game starts at 7:05 EDT.
New York is currently tied with the Rays for the best record in baseball at 40-23 SU. The Yankees have won 7 of their past 10 games, and are an impressive 22-7 at home this year. New York is +6.49 and +9.62 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. Offensively, New York has scored 9 runs in each of their 2 previous games. Right-hander AJ Burnett will take the mound tonight, as he is 6-4 with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. The Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games against a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 54-21 in their last 75 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. New York is 10-2 in Burnett's last 12 home starts aginst a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 17-4 in Burnetts last 21 home starts. New York is 9-4 in Burnett's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record.
The Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games against a team with a winning record. The Under is 14-5 in their last 19 home games against a team with a winning record. Catcher Jorge Posada is listed as Questionable tonight with a foot injury.
Philadelphia continues to struggle to score runs, and it's costing them in the National League standings. The Phillies are 2-5 over their past 7 games, and are now 32-29 for the season. Philadelphia has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their past 6 games. Tonight will also mark the 4th time in 5 games that they've been the listed underdog. The Phillies are -7.63 and +0.13 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. P Kyle Kendrick will look to continue his better form of late, as he has an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.06 over his past 3 starts. For the entire season, Kendrick is 3-2 with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.37. The Phillies are 17-39 in their last 56 interleague games against a right-handed starter. Philadelphia is 7-20 in their last 27 interleague road games against a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Philadelphia is 2-8 in Kendrick's last 10 road starts.
The Phillies are 1-5 in Kendrick's last 6 starts against a team with a winning record.
The Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. The Over is 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games against a team with a winning record. Shortstop Jimmy Rollins has been ruled Out tonight with a calf injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 7-5 in favor of the New York Yankees. The Over 10 Runs is the Total of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
