Odds on Will Mike Waltz Resign Before May (Kalshi)

Submitted by Guest on

Written by :

Guest

Published on :

The fallout continued into late Wednesday from revelations that top national security officials discussed sensitive attack plans over the Signal messaging app.

betonlinepolitics50.png
Dozens of Political Props Offered

National Security Advisor Mike Waltz appeared to be most under scrutiny having admitted to building the Signal contact chain that resulted in a journalist being added to the chain.

The White House said the information shared through the publicly available Signal app with Jeffrey Goldberg, editor-in-chief of The Atlantic magazine, was not classified.  The full text chain without redactions was released Wednesday morning.

Devlin Barrett of the New York Times observed the following:

"The administration’s defense has rested on whether the details of the messages count as classified information. Administration officials have noted that it is up to the Defense Department to decide which details of its own work are classified. And since the head of that department, Mr. Hegseth, has declared the information not classified, it therefore is not, they have contended.

"Going back to at least the Reagan administration, however, the government has considered information about “military plans, weapons or operations” to be classified."

Mick Mulroy, a former Pentagon official in the first Trump administration, agrees.

“It is highly classified and protected,” Mulroy said. “Disclosure would compromise the operation and put lives at risk. Next to nuclear and covert operations, this information is the most protected.”

Prediction market Kelshi released odds on whether Waltz will still be around come June 1.

His chances ranged from 18 percent to 23 percent throughout the day on Wednesday after the betting market was released earlier in the morning.  Nearly $100,000 had been bet by 10 pm ET.

Rules:

 

  • Scope: These rules shall apply to this contract.
  • Underlying: The Underlying for this Contract is actions and public statements of <official>.Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
  • Source Agency: The Source Agency is <official> and The New York Times.
  • Type: The type of Contract is an Event Contract.
  • Issuance: After the initial Contract, Contract iterations will be listed on an as-needed basis at the discretion of the Exchange and corresponding to the risk management needs of Members. <official>: <official> refers to a given government employee or officeholder specified by the Exchange. <official> may also take the form of more than one employee, e.g., “Any Governor of aU.S. state”.

tc-jackson.png

Related Content

Eagles vs. Titans Total Rushing Yards Prop Bets Top Payout Odds:  Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard

Eagles vs. Titans Total Rushing Yards Prop Bets Top Payout Odds: Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard was reasonably efficient but had a light workload in Tennessee's 23-10 loss to the Jets and has the second shortest odds to have the most rushing yards in this game after Saquon Barkley (-300).
Packers vs. Jets Touchdown Scorer Betting Markets: Breece Hall, MarShawn Lloyd, Christian Watson

Packers vs. Jets Touchdown Scorer Betting Markets: Breece Hall, MarShawn Lloyd, Christian Watson

Breece Hall has terrific value this week to score an anytime touchdown as he pays even odds.
Will the Browns Cover the +9 Spread Versus the Bucs on Sunday?

Will the Browns Cover the +9 Spread Versus the Bucs on Sunday?

Todd Bowles Next NFL Head Coach Fired betting markets will most certainly heat up at BetOnline should Tampa lose outright to the Browns Sunday, assuming BetOnline has a chance to update these odds before he is canned.
Eagles vs. Titans Total Receiving Yards Prop Bets: DeVonta Smith, Carnell Tate

Eagles vs. Titans Total Receiving Yards Prop Bets: DeVonta Smith, Carnell Tate

DeVonta Smith caught 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, averaging 17.7 yards per reception. He is the odds-on favorite by nearly 3x any other player to have the most receiving yards in Sunday's game.