Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns Anytime Touchdown Player Prop Bets: Najee Harris, Nick Chubb, George Pickens

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Najee Harris pays out $110 for every $100 bet should he score at least one touchdown and $550 for 2+. 

Harris ran 18 times for 63 yards in the Steelers’ Week 11 win over the Ravens but failed to score a touchdown.   The value Thursday night is good, however, as Harris has scored a touchdown in three of the last five games he's played in.

Cleveland's Nick Chubb pays $140 for an anytime touchdown while promising a payout of $700 for every $100 bet if he scores 2+. 

Chubb had 11 rushes for 50 yards in the Browns’ Week 11 loss against the Saints but no touchdowns.  He only touchdown in four games played was in Week 7 against the Bengals.

All sports odds courtesy of Bookie.ag.

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Steelers @ Browns Betting Preview

Steelers @ Browns

Opening Line - The line opened at Steelers -3.5.

Line Trend  - The line had moved from -3.5 to -4.5 early on.  As of Thursday, the trend has primarily been -4 to -3.5 and really steady on the -3.5.

Sagarin – Sagarin gives us a number of Pittsburgh 8.1.  There is a 4-point underlay.

Action Trend – Action was lopsided early at near 90% on the Steelers.

Early Comparables

*Underlays in the 3 to 3.5 range have boded well for the favorite.

  • Philadelphia -3.5 to -4.5 LA Rams (Phil 7.53 - Underlay of 3 to 4) - Road favorite covers.  This game is more similar in terms of line movement and actual vs. what the line should be.
  • Oregon State -3.5 to -5.5 San Diego State (Oregon State 10.64 Big Underlay) - Road favorite covers.
  • WSU -3.5 / -4.5 Arizona (road favorite WSU covers and wins by a lot ) WSU 7.28 Underlay 3.5 to 4.5 - Road favorite covers.

The one possible outlier:

  • Green Bay -3 to -4 Detroit (home dog Detroit covers and wins)  Green Bay 6.02 Underlay of 2 to 3 points - Home underdog covers.

Updated Comparables

 

  • Packers (-4) -4.5 to -3.5 Jaguars  (Packers 7.65 - Big Underlay) - Home dog covers.
  • LA Chargers -3.5 to -3 Atlanta (home dog Atlanta covers with LA 3 point win) LA 4.86 Underlay of 1.5 to 2 - Home dog covers.

Injury Concerns for the Steelers

The underlay is double what the line should actually be so we reviewed any injuries with the Steelers.

Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Keeanu Benton went down with an undisclosed lower-body injury against the Baltimore Ravens and will require further evaluation.

With the team already down backup starting nose tackle Montravius Adams, Benton’s injury prognosis is critical, though probably not worth 4 points on the spread. Dean Lowry stepped in for him and would start in his absence.

Head to Head

Cleveland has covered the +4.5 spread in three of the last four meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Anytime Touchdowns Prop Bet

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns

21-Nov-2024, 20:15
Live

Najee Harris

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+110

2+

+550

3+

+2900

Nick Chubb

Cleveland Browns

1+

+140

2+

+700

3+

+5400

George Pickens

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+190

2+

+1100

3+

+7900

Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+240

2+

+1600

3+

+10000

David Njoku

Cleveland Browns

1+

+290

2+

+2300

3+

+11000

Pat Freiermuth

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+290

2+

+2300

3+

+11000

Jerry Jeudy

Cleveland Browns

1+

+290

2+

+2300

3+

+11000

Cedric Tillman

Cleveland Browns

1+

+325

2+

+2600

3+

+12000

Elijah Moore

Cleveland Browns

1+

+350

2+

+2900

3+

+15000

Jerome Ford

Cleveland Browns

1+

+450

2+

+3600

3+

+17500

Mike Williams

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+450

2+

+3600

3+

+17500

Russell Wilson

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+600

2+

+4900

3+

+20000

Calvin Austin

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+650

2+

+5400

3+

+20000

Darnell Washington

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+700

2+

+5900

3+

+20000

Cordarrelle Patterson

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+750

2+

+6400

3+

+20000

Jameis Winston

Cleveland Browns

1+

+800

2+

+6900

3+

+20000

Van Jefferson

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+800

2+

+6900

3+

+20000

Jonathan Ward

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+1000

2+

+8400

3+

+20000

Jordan Akins

Cleveland Browns

1+

+1100

2+

+8900

3+

+25000

Pierre Strong

Cleveland Browns

1+

+1100

2+

+8900

3+

+25000

Jamari Thrash

Cleveland Browns

1+

+1100

2+

+8900

3+

+25000

Jaelon Darden

Cleveland Browns

1+

+1300

2+

+9400

3+

+25000

Connor Heyward

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+1400

2+

+10000

3+

+30000

Scotty Miller

Pittsburgh Steelers

1+

+1400

2+

+10000

3+

+30000

Geoff Swaim

Cleveland Browns

1+

+1900

2+

+12000

3+

+30000

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