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Baltimore is a -6.5 favorite hosting the red hot 4-1 Washington Commanders Sunday. Using the Sagarin Ratings we have detected a 1-point overlay.
The next chance is this weekend at Baltimore. The Commanders ride in on a four-game winning streak that got them to 4-1, the Ravens have won three in a row to improve to 3-2, and it's the game of the week because Washington's Jayden Daniels and Baltimore's Lamar Jackson are on the field together as professionals for the first time.
“It’s kind of the first time we’ve had one of these matchups where it’s two quarterbacks that are really having a lot of success and kind of similar in a way,” said veteran running back Austin Ekeler, who’s in his first season with Washington. “These guys are dynamic runners. Jayden obviously is new to the NFL, coming into the scene, but Lamar has had a lot of respect, so I’m excited for this matchup.”
Ravens player to watch
Derrick Henry leads the NFL with 572 yards rushing, and his seven total touchdowns — six on the ground and one receiving — are tied for the most among running backs. He has scored at least once in each of his first five games with Baltimore, giving QB Lamar Jackson a perfect complement to balance the offense. He should get the ball early and often, which has turned out to be a winning recipe.
Commanders player to watch
WR Terry McLaurin is coming off catching four passes for a season-high 112 yards, and his rapport with rookie QB Jayden Daniels is growing by the game. The Ravens’ struggles defending the pass open up a real opportunity for Daniels to find McLaurin on everything from short- and mid-range throws to the deep shot. McLaurin caught a 66-yard pass from Daniels against Cleveland.
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