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Jacksonville is sitting at No. 7 on the Sagarin Ratings. For a while there, they looked like the team to beat in the league. Coming into Week 16, Jacksonville was tied in first with the Colts and Texans in the AFC South. Their odds of winning the Super Bowl currently would pay out $3300 on a $100 bet.
December 24
With balanced action, the Jaguars dropped moved from the +3 dog to -1 favorite playing against the Bucs in Tampa.
Trevor Lawrence was cleared to play as he traveled with the team the short distance across state. The Jags quarterback had been under concussion protocol. Lawrence faced missing his first-ever football game due to injury, dating back to high school.
We do have the Jaguars number at 0.94 when not factoring in a missing Lawrence. Favorites where the line is on the money, as is the case here, have performed especially well when the line is in the 2.5/3 range without crossing over the 3. This one was in that range when Tampa opened as the favorite (assuming no Lawrence). With the Jags a favorite we've only hit the 2. We still like their chances here with a mostly healthy Lawrence and Tampa's three straight victories were against teams with losing records. Two of those weren't exactly convincing wins.
"The Jaguars were one of the worst in the league at converting third downs in the first month -- just 29.7%, which ranked 29th," according to ESPN's Michael DiRocco. "From Week 5 on, however, they're converting 40%, which ranks 15th. They've fared better at converting third-and-7 or longer since Week 5 (22.4%) than they did in Weeks 1-4 (11.8%), and that has been a big boost."
Super Bowl Odds
Latest Super Bowl 2024 Odds
San Francisco 49ers: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Baltimore Ravens: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)
Kansas City Chiefs: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Miami Dolphins: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Philadelphia Eagles: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Dallas Cowboys: +950 (bet $10 to win $105 total)
Buffalo Bills: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Detroit Lions: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Jacksonville Jaguars: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Cleveland Browns: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Seattle Seahawks: +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total)
Houston Texans: +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total)
Los Angeles Rams: +8000 (bet $10 to win $810 total)
Indianapolis Colts: +8500 (bet $10 to win $860 total)
Cincinnati Bengals: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +11000 (bet $10 to win $1,110 total)
New Orleans Saints: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
Minnesota Vikings: +13000 (bet $10 to win $1,310 total)
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Green Bay Packers: +27000 (bet $10 to win $2,710 total)
Pittsburgh Steelers: +35000 (bet $10 to win $3,510 total)
Atlanta Falcons: +40000 (bet $10 to win $4,010 total)
Chicago Bears: +100000 (bet $10 to win $10,010 total)
Las Vegas Raiders: +100000 (bet $10 to win $10,010 total)
Los Angeles Chargers: +100000 (bet $10 to win $10,010 total)
New York Giants: +100000 (bet $10 to win $10,010 total)
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
