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The Super Bowl is over, but that doesn’t mean the betting markets are taking the day off.
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The trial to impeach Donald Trump a second time is scheduled to begin tomorrow, and there are a few ways to wager on the political action.
The oddsmakers have set the “over/under” for the number of Senators to vote in favor of impeachment at 54.5.
The bookies expect the Senate vote to occur after February 15, and they give little chance that Trump will be convicted on incitement.
Implied probabilities are included along with the betting odds below.
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement?
Over 54.5 (-130)
Under 54.5 (-110)
(The odds imply a 56.5% chance 55 Senators will vote to convict)
When will Senate vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement occur?
On or before Feb. 15 +250
After Feb. 15 -400
(The odds imply an 80.0% chance the vote will occur after Feb. 15)
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on incitement?
Yes +900
No -3000
(The odds imply a 96.8% chance Trump will not be convicted)
