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Gambling911.com has your Reds-Mets game preview for Wednesday.
The line on this game is Mets -177 to -183, too high a line for us to bet New York, the Reds +172 and the total at 6.5.
This line has shot up from -170, so we have little interest in looking at New York here. Instead, with the total moving down from 7 to 6.5, the books appear to be trying to get more action on the OVER. It is the UNDER we will focus on here.
What We Like:
- Total dropping a half run to 6.5
- Reds have the 4th best bullpen
What We Don't Like:
- Mets have the 3rd worst bullpen
- Nine of the last ten meetings have resulted in games going OVER the current total of 6.5.
We would have to rely on the Mets starter Jacob deGrom going deep due to the Mets poor bullpen. That's a tough pill to swallow here.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 4.26 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (2-3, 4.85)
DeSclafani finally broke into the win column in his last outing, limiting St. Louis to four hits and striking out six over six scoreless innings. The 29-year-old also went six innings in his previous turn and deserved a better fate after fanning six and holding San Diego to one run and two hits over six innings in a no-decision. The Mets have been a nightmarish matchup for DeSclafani, who is 0-3 with a bloated 9.00 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against them.
Making his first start since he went on the injured list with the elbow issue, deGrom struggled for the third consecutive outing, lasting four innings and giving up five runs while striking out seven. He was blasted for five home runs over his previous two turns in losses to Atlanta and Minnesota while failing to pitch beyond five innings in each. DeGrom has made four starts against the Reds, going 2-1 with 34 strikeouts, but Eugenio Suarez is 3-for-9 against him.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
