Odds of Hurricane Isaac Hitting Tampa During Republican Convention at 2 Percent

Meteorologist Jeff Masters of WeatherUnderground.com is keeping a watchful eye over newly formed Tropical Storm Isaac in the Atlantic Ocean, giving the storm a 2 percent chance of directly affecting the Republican Convention August 27-30 in Tampa, Florida.

Early indications are that the storm could form into a Category 1 Hurricane this week and travel due south of Hispaniola then move over Cuba before curving further northward in a line that takes the storm parallel to Florida.

Masters writes: 

I blogged about the climatological chances of a hurricane causing an evacuation of Tampa during the convention in a post last week, putting the odds at 0.2%. The odds in the current situation are higher, probably near 2%. It would take a "perfect storm" sort of conditions to all fall in place to bring TD 9 to the doorstep of Tampa as a hurricane during the convention, but that is one of the possibilities the models have been suggesting could happen.

No “real money” betting is available on this event, however, there is a small number of people who might consider such an event an omen, thus pulling their support from the Republican party.  We could see the US Presidential odds change as a result. 

- Jagajeet Chiba, Gambling911.com