MLB Betting Analysis - August 13, 2025

Submitted by C Costigan on

Written by :

C Costigan

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Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for games played Wednesday August 13, 2025.

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August 13, 2025 

Marlins @ Guardians

The total and moneyline remained steady Wednesday morning at 7.5 and -128 (CLE), respectively. 

"Before his last outing, Eury Perez was one of the most effective pitchers in the league, sporting a 1.06 ERA and 0.68 WHIP with 37 strikeouts to just eight walks over the prior 34 innings. Last time out, the Atlanta Braves took Perez deep three times. The 22-year-old right-hander is in a great spot to rebound with the Miami Marlins visiting the Cleveland Guardians. The home team doesn't fan much, but they're a below average offense with below average power." (source: ESPN)

Cleveland has won four of the last five in this series dating back to 2023, however. They've also been winning 80 percent of their games of late. 

Miami has cooled down a bit after climbing towards - and flirting with - the .500 mark, having started the season off in a deep hole.  They've lost their last four games. 

Phillies @ Reds

"The Cincinnati Reds are in the thick of the playoff race even though they've been without their ace for over two months. That changes on Wednesday with Hunter Greene ticketed to return from the IL in a late afternoon home affair with the Philadelphia Phillies. Against a lesser opponent, using Greene out of the gate is defensible, but the Phillies possess one of the most potent lineups in the league, and have been on a power surge over the last month. Greene punched out 24 in just 13 frames while rehabbing, but despite logging 5 1/3 innings (79 pitches) in his final rehab effort, Greene is too risky." (source: ESPN)

August 12, 2025

Red Sox vs. Astros 

The number here dropped from 9 to 8.5.  

The Astros hold a wRC+ of 102 over the last 30 days and rank 14th in weighted on-base average. They've been tough on righties of late, as since July 1, they rank 10th in baseball with a wRC+ of 110 (source: The Action Network)

Houston Astros career statistics vs. Dustin May do have one home run and four RBIs with just 28 at bats. 

Boston Red Sox career statistics vs. Spencer Arrighetti have just two hits in a limited sampling of 12 at bats. 

Rays vs. Athletics 

Jacob Lopez is coming off his best start of the season, limiting the Washington Nationals to three hits in 7 2/3 scoreless frames. However, he threw 114 pitches and will be working on just four days of rest, so the Athletics might cut his outing short. Even so, the lefty is in a favorable spot facing a Tampa Bay Rays club that sports the eighth-lowest wOBA and ninth-highest strikeout rate versus left-handers. (source: ESPN)

Heavy action here on the Over. 

Top cappers are all over the A's at -108 while the public is slightly backing Tampa more. 

August 11, 2025

Padres @ Giants

The number has dropped from 7.5 to 7 with greater than 60% on the Over. 

From The Action Network

Oracle Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly venues in Major League Baseball. Statcast park factors consistently rank it near the bottom in home run and overall run production, with the cool Bay Area air and spacious dimensions swallowing up would-be extra-base hits. 

The temperature is expected to be in the high 50’s to low 60’s tonight, which, along with the Giants aforementioned offensive struggles, has triggered some of The Betting Insider’s best MLB systems. 

We also love that the Giants are just 6-for-39 against Yu Darvish (.154). 

San Diego Padres career statistics vs. Logan Webb have just two home runs in 211 at bats. 

The Padres have allowed three or fewer runs in half of their last ten games.

We will be on the Under here.  

Rays @ Athletics 

There is a lot here to like about the Athletics winning. 

ESPN offered the following analysis

Jeffrey Springs will face his old team for the second time, this time in Sacramento when the Athletics host the Tampa Bay Rays. After opening the season with a 6.04 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over his first six outings, the lefty posted a 3.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his past 18 efforts, though 107 strikeouts in 132 innings are a bit light. Even so, Springs is in a good spot facing a Rays lineup with the eighth lowest wOBA and the ninth highest strikeout rate against southpaws.

The number moved from A's -120 to -105 based on lopsided action on the Rays. 

The Action Network is one of the best handicapping sites on the Net and they are on the Under here, however, the line movement and action for the total is relatively balanced, so this doesn't factor into our determination based on opinions and public play. 

Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (39-29-2)

August 12 - No Picks 
August 11 - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 7 (WIN)
August 10 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox - Guardians -122 (LOSS)
August 10 - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 8 (LOSS)
August 9 - Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (WIN)
August 8 - Phillies vs. Rangers - Under 7 (LOSS)
August 8 - Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reds -118 (LOSS)
August 7 - No Picks
August 6 - No Picks 
August 5 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers - Over 9 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Athletics +112 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 4 - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 (LOSS)
August 3 - New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins - Marlins +103 (WIN)
August 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays +104 (WIN)
August 1 - Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox - Over 8 (LOSS)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Blue Jays +103 (WIN)
July 29 - No Picks
July 28 - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 (LOSS)
July 28 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 27 - No Picks Today 
July 26 - No Picks Today 
July 25 - LA Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -102 (LOSS)
July 24 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers - Tigers -130 (LOSS)
July 23 - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Red Sox +146 (WIN)
July 22 - No Picks Today 
July 21 - San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Giants +118 (LOSS)
July 20 - Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7 (WIN)
July 19 - New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves +112 (LOSS)
July 18 - No Picks Today
July 13 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -115 (WIN)
July 12 - No Picks Today
July 11 - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - Rangers +108 (WIN) 
July 10 - No Picks Today 
July 9 - Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -136 (WIN)
July 8 - No Picks Today
July 7 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Guardians +118 (WIN)
July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
July 5 - Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 9 (PUSH)
July 4 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
July 3 - No Picks Today
July 2 - No Picks Today 
July 1 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7.5(LOSS)
June 29 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves -157 (LOSS)
June 28 - Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Marlins +136 (WIN)
June 27 - Athletics vs. New York Yankees - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 26 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Guardians -130 (LOSS)
June 26 - Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 24 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 22 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 (LOSS)
June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 (WIN)
June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
June 17 - No Picks Today
June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 12 - No Picks Today
June 11 - No Picks Today
June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)

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