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Insofar as there is a main course in the NFL this Thanksgiving Day, it is going to be the 49ers-Seahawks game. San Francisco comes in as the -7 favorite but the line has moved above and below this number a half point either way.
We should note that the dog has performed well in a limited sample from our model of NFL games where the line is 6.5/7/7.5.
We get a number of 3.89, indicating there is an overlay of around 2.5 to 3.5. That's around where the number opened prior to injury concerns emerging for the Seahawks.
Geno Smith is listed as questionable for Thursday, but head coach Pete Carroll is confident that he will be available.
"His attitude has been right on it the whole time. He hasn't missed a snap. We didn't let him throw the first couple of days, but he didn't miss a snap, so he was doing everything. He's ready to go," said coach Carroll on Wednesday afternoon.
The only player that has been declared out for Week 12 is rookie safety Jerrick Reed II who suffered an ACL injury against the Rams.
49ers quarterback Brock Purdy's passing yards total came in at 252.5.
Purdy completed 21-of-24 passes for 333 yards and three touchdowns in the 49ers’ 27-14 Week 11 win over the Bucs.
Assuming he plays, Smith's passing yard total had him Over/Under 240.5.
Smith completed 22-of-34 passes for 233 yards and a touchdown in the Seahawks’ 17-16, Week 11 loss to the Rams.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
