Super Bowl Prop Betting: Quarterbacks
As we have said repeatedly, Super Bowl prop betting will account for well over 80 percent of all wagers in Sunday's big game. Online sportsbooks like BetUS.com are offering literally hundreds of Super Bowl betting props. Among the more popular will be the Super Bowl quarterbacks prop bet.
Among the best Super Bowl prop betting "locks", there is the Drew Brees Total TD Passes
Over 1½ TD Passes -210
Under 1½ TD Passes +165
"This number seems like a no-brainer, he's only gone under two TDs in a game 6 times. He will throw two," writes Tommy Long of BetUS.com.
The required risk is $21 to win $10 but might be well worth it. That $21 is refunded should Brees throw over 1 ½ touchdown passes.
In terms of Drew Brees total passing yards, the number was listed at OVER/UNDER 290 ½.
"This is under his season average but way over his average for his first two playoff games. The Colts are below average against the run, so as long as Indianapolis doesn't put this game out of reach early. The Saints will run and keep Brees' passing number below 291."
Other Drew Brees Super Bowl prop betting odds included:
Drew Brees Total Pass Attempts
Over 36½ Pass Attempts -120
Under 36½ Pass Attempts -110
Drew Brees Total Completions
Over 24½ Completions -115
Under 24½ Completions -115
"Brees set the record for most accurate passing season of any NFL QB in history, if he's going over in pass attempts he'll likely go over for completions. He was accurate on 70.62% of his passes this season. If we take the predicted completions 25.5 and divide it by predicted pass attempts, 36.5, the percentage is 67%. That is almost 4% under his rating this season. It's not a big difference but it's enough to make me lean towards the OVER."
Drew Brees 1st Rushing Attempt
Over ½ Yards -140
Under ½ Yards Even
What will happen first for Drew Brees?
Throw a TD Pass -240
Throw an Interception +190
Drew Brees Throw an Interception
Yes -180
No +150
"I like the Under here, the Colts didn't have many INTs during the regular season and picking off Joe Flacco a couple of times isn't a big deal. I'll wager $100 on Drew Brees being accurate to win $150."
Of course we can't leave the Colts quarterback Peyton Manning out when considering our Super Bowl prop betting options on quarterbacks.
Total Passing Yards
Over 308½ Passing Yards -115
Under 308½ Passing Yards -115
"This number is very doable for Manning, the Saints will defense will be out to blitz Manning and that hasn't worked well in the past and I don't see it working well here," Long writes. "Manning is excellent at reading and exploiting the opponents blitz packages. Still I am hesitant to take the over on a number so much higher than a player's season average. Take the UNDER."
Peyton Manning Total Pass Attempts
Over 37½ Pass Attempts -115
Under 37½ Pass Attempts -115
Peyton Manning Total Completions
Over 25½ Completions -120
Under 25½ Completions -110
Peyton Manning Total TD Passes
Over 2½ TD Passes Even
Under 2½ TD Passes -140
Peyton Manning Total Rushing Attempts
Over 1½ Rushing Attempts +130
Under 1½ Rushing Attempts -170
"Something to remember when you are betting on a quarterbacks rushing attempts, kneel downs count as a rushing attempt. So if Colt are winning and have possession with under 2 minutes remaining, we could see a couple of knee downs. If you think the Colts will win, bet the OVER, if you like the Saints bet the UNDER."
Peyton Manning 1st Rushing Attempt
Over ½ Yards +220
Under ½ Yards -300
What will happen first for Peyton Manning?
Throw a TD Pass -300
Throw an Interception +220
Will Peyton Manning Throw an Interception?
Yes -140
No +110
"The Saints are a big play defense, they won't stuff a team but the secondary will snag a ball or two. Manning will throw an interception, maybe two."
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Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
