Penn State vs. Florida Outback Bowl Line Steady at -7

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Penn State vs. Florida Outback Bowl

The Penn State vs. Florida Outback Bowl line has remained steady at -7 in favor of the Gators since odds on this game initially opened.  There has been no variance in this line.  Spread action explains why as we are seeing balanced betting coming through for both sides.  70 percent of those betting the money line were backing Penn State, however.  An outright win by the underdog would result in a $24 payout on every $10 bet. 

Both these teams enter the Outback Bowl with 7-5 records.  The Gators have had a tough time of late covering the spread against winning teams.  They are 0-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records.  Florida is also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, though this is offset by the fact that the Gators are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite overall.   They are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.

While the Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games, Penn State is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.  The Nittany Lions are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Note that Florida will come into this game with most of their running backs healthy and available, which was not the case throughout much of the regular season. 

….The TicketCity Bowl Northwestern vs. Texas Tech spread was at -9.5 at more than half the online sportsbooks after opening at -9.  Just like with the Outback Bowl, the Northwestern vs. Texas Tech game featured balanced betting action on the spread.  This game was also getting even money line action.   The OVER 60.5 was getting better than 80 percent of the total wagering action. 

Trends are piled against the Wildcats in this game. They are just 1-5 Against The Spread vs. a team with a winning record.  Northwestern is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.  The Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Trends for the Red Raiders tended to be less significant.

- Dan Shapiro,

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