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NFL Week 4 Picks (2009)

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/03/2009
NFL Week 4 Picks (2009)

Gambling911.com had a few NFL Week 4 picks early on with more possibly on the way.

Green Bay Packers:

One of our most enthusiastic NFL Week 4 picks is on the Green Bay Packers at +3 ½ playing in Minnesota.  The Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings line is one of the most anticipated of the season following word that former Packers quarterback Brett Favre had joined the Vikings over the summer and now the line had moved down to +3 at press time at SBG Global.  

Some important Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings betting odds trends to consider:

Green Bay has won five of the last six in this series. 

Minnesota has won the last game in this series, but only by a single point.

Minnesota has only beaten Green Bay by more than the current spread once in ten meetings. 

The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.

The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

The Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.

The Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.

The Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.

The Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

It is important to note that Brett Favre is on Minnesota's injury report for the first time this season.

The 39-year-old quarterback was listed Thursday as being limited in practice because of a foot injury.

After the Vikings beat San Francisco last Sunday, Favre complained of aching in his right foot, left knee, both shoulders and neck.

Cincinnati Bengals:

We got the Bengals as a -5 ½ road favorite at SBG Global.  That line has since moved to -6.

The Browns have scored nine points in the last two weeks and have been outscored 94-29 this season. They have scored one offensive touchdown in their last nine games.

Some important Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns odds trends to consider in this game:

The Bengals are 7-3 in this series over the last 10 games including a win the last time these teams played each other back in December.  That was a 14-0 Cincinnati shutout.

The Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

They are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

The Browns are Browns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

The most telling stat is that Cleveland is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.

Cleveland is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

They are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Browns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

They are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.

Cleveland is a team in complete disarray.  Neither of their quarterbacks appears capable.  There is plenty of momentum with the Bengals organization right now.  Unless Cincinnati decides to sleep walk into Cleveland this weekend, they should win this game in a big way.  Once again, our NFL Week 4 pick on this game is Cincinnati at the earlier line of -5 ½. 

Buffalo Bills -2:

Buffalo has pretty much owned this series going 7-3 in the last 10 games.  However, Miami won both games against Buffalo last season. 

The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Bills are 25-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

The Dolphins are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 vs. AFC East.

Miami is 4-11-3 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

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Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher

 

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