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NFL Week 4 Free Pick: Lions vs. Bears

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/03/2009
NFL Week 4 Free Pick:  Lions vs. Bears

Here is yet another NFL Week 4 free pick, this time on the Lions vs. Bears game. 

Chicago has won 6 of the last 10 in this series included both games last year.   They have only beaten the Lions twice during that time period by more than the current spread and that includes last year's October game on the road.  

Some important trends that helped Gambling911.com to derive at this NFL Week 4 Free Pick for the Lions vs. Bears:

The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

The Lions are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Detroit looks to be a team that is improving so we're not reading too much into the above trends, but Chicago's recent trends should provide a more accurate picture.

The Bears are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

The Bears are 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. win.

The Bears are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.

We're not saying that the Detroit Lions are going to run away with a win here.  Gambling911.com does believe they will cover this line however at +10, which was still being offered at most online sportsbooks.

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