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Free College Football Pick: ESPN Thursday Night Game

Written by:
Tony George
Published on:
Sep/17/2009
Free College Football Pick

Tony George is on the Miami Hurricanes at -5 for his FREE PICK on the Georgia Tech vs. Miami ESPN Thursday night game.  Be sure to check out his picks at www.sportsaudioshows.com

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While I am passing on this game as an official play as I think it is a risky call, no matter what side you are on, which means I will not put my own money on this one, as there are better ones upcoming, I will give you my opinion on how I see it.

When losing money on GT last week against Clemson after the Yellow Jackets blew a 24 point lead only to win and not cover on a last second field goal, it was apparent to me that they have issues on offense.  They are completely one dimensional with the running game.  There is no doubt they have a great RB in Dwyer, and their QB is capable of making big plays running it as well..  A varied triple option attack used by head coach Paul Johnson works against teams who either do not have a strong A-gap containment or no ability to use speed to get linebackers outside to shut down the corner.  They won their game against Clemson with 2 big plays, and a special teams TD.  They were totally dominated in the second half of that game.

Being a fan of the old Tom Osborne led Huskers in the 90's using this same approach, I totally under how it works.  That being said, QB Nesbit has a 36% completion rate on the season, is a poor passer and GT cannot play from behind and win games against good opponents if they get bottled up on the option attack which Clemson shut down last week.  Their defense is suspect to the vertical passing game, as Jacoby Ford from Clemson destroyed them downfield last week and RB Spiller ran all over them.  In essence, speed killed GT in the second half, on offense and defense.

Miami has speed on both sides of the ball.  They won a huge game at Florida State on Labor Day and won it with speed, depth, and a balanced attack and QB Harris is better than advertised and has some chops.   They are avenging a 41-23 loss last year in this game and revenge is a big factor in college football. While the defensive numbers favor GT, bear in mind the yards given up by Miami were mostly through the air against Florida State, and as mentioned, GT does not throw the ball well at all. They held FSU to 109 rushing.  If Miami gets out to a fast start and GT has to get out of their game plan and throw to win, Miami walks away with it.  If not, expect a 4 quarter battle, but I will lean with the home team in this one.

Free Play on Miami, courtesy of Tony George Sports

Check out my Saturday NCAA action.  A Triple Header with my SEC GAME OF THE MONTH, and my highly prized Big 12 Featured Game of the Week.  All posted now for line value and HUGE Profits!  LOADS OF FREE PLAYS FROM THE TOP CAPPERS IN THE NATION AT www.sportsaudioshows.com

*Note that Tony George's plays do not calculate into the official record of Gambling911.com free plays found daily on our website.

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