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Gambling911.com offers this Florida – Alabama College Football prediction based on information provided by the statisticians at DonBest.com. The oldest established line feed in the world, Don Best joins the Gambling911.com family in conjunction with Bookmaker.com, the oldest established North American online sportsbook, which is currently offering a 20 percent signup bonus with your initial deposit (the money you begin betting with to open an account).
Alabama is an -8 point home favorite against Florida in what should be their toughest game of the season. The OVER/UNDER is 48 ½.
When playing against the spread in all games over the past 3 years, the Florida Gators are 21-9. More impressively, they are 13-3 when playing against a team with a winning record.
In a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49, the OVER for Alabama is 1-7. Likewise, during the month of October, the OVER has been 1-6 during the past three years.
Other trends that should be considered before betting on this game include:
The home team has won the last four games in this series dating back to 2005 (edge Alabama).
The home team has easily covered the current spread (edge Alabama).
The Gators are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record (edge Florida).
Florida is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog (edge Florida).
The UNDER is 12-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 17 conference games (edge UNDER).
For us the last few home team wins in this series by solid margins well beyond the current spread makes it difficult to bet on Florida despite the Gators having such a strong edge in key stats categories.
But what really stands out are the stats favoring the UNDER 48 ½ and that is going to be our Florida – Alabama College Football prediction… THE UNDER 48 ½ or at least we believe there is a 60 percent or better chance of this game going UNDER.
Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
