College Football Betting 2011 – 2012: Arkansas, Georgia, Michigan State

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:
Aug/27/2011
College Football Betting 2011 – 2012

College Football betting odds were available for the 2011 – 2012 season for the Arkansas Razorbacks, Georgia Bulldogs and Michigan State Spartans.  

Arkansas had odds of winning the 2012 BCS Championship at 35/1.  They are loaded with depth and talent and could easily win the SEC title at great odds:  10/1. 

The September 24 game at Alabama will say a lot.  They’ve lost five of their last six against Alabama and have not won in Tuscaloosa since 2003.  They nearly beat them last year, however.   They also meet LSU in a critical final. 

They host the likes of Auburn, South Carolina and Mississippi State but that Texas A&M game on the road could provide one of the bigger challenges.

Arkansas season win odds were set at OVER/UNDER 8.5.  Assuming losses to all three of those top teams on the road, the Razorbacks are still OVER 8.5 and there is certainly some value at even odds.

Their schedule is as follows: 

 

Sep. 3 Missouri State

Sep. 10 New Mexico

Sep. 17 Troy

Sep. 24 at Alabama

Oct. 1 Texas A&M (in Dallas)

Oct. 8 Auburn

Oct. 15 OPEN DATE

Oct. 22 at Ole Miss

Oct. 29 at Vanderbilt

Nov. 5 South Carolina

Nov. 12 Tennessee

Nov. 19 Mississippi State

Nov. 25 at LSU

More great College Football betting odds were available for the Georgia Bulldogs, who were listed at 40/1 odds to win the 2012 BCS Championship title.

Peter Fiutak of Scout.com opined:  “When you miss the three best teams from the West – Alabama, LSU, and Arkansas – and get South Carolina, Mississippi State, and Auburn at home, you have to take advantage of it.”

Their odds of winning the SEC Conference were just shy of 6/1. 

It’s tough to see them win against Boise State at home but we can see a win against Tennessee on the road.  They should be able to handle Auburn at home as well as Mississippi State.  But Georgia could get off to a 0-2 start facing South Carolina their second week after opening to Boise State.  The OVER 8.5 regular season wins has value at -125, but not a whole lot. 

 

2011 Schedule

Sep. 3 Boise State (in Atlanta)
Sep. 10 South Carolina
Sep. 17 Coastal Carolina
Sep. 24 at Ole Miss
Oct. 1 Mississippi State
Oct. 8 at Tennessee
Oct. 15 at Vanderbilt
Oct. 22 OPEN DATE
Oct. 29 Florida (in Jacks.)
Nov. 5 New Mexico State
Nov. 12 Auburn
Nov. 19 Kentucky
Nov. 26 at Georgia Tech

Michigan State had odds of 55/1 to win the 2012 BCS Championship.  Don’t count on it.

Last year’s Spartans team was one of the best in years even with their disastrous bowl game against Alabama. 

They losesix starters onoffense and five on defense, which might normally be a major concern, however, Michigan State is still full of talent and their defensive front promises to be among the best in the Big Ten.  They had solid value of winning the Big 10 at just shy of 9/1 odds

 

Wisconsin, Nebraska, Ohio State and Penn State all had better odds.   Unfortunately they will play two of those teams on the road and face the favorite to win the conference, Wisconsin, at home.  The last win over the Buckeyes was in 1999, and the last win in Columbus was 1998.

We see three losses for the regular seasonThe OVER 7.5 regular season wins at -125 actually has some great value.

 

Sep. 3 Youngstown State
Sep. 10 Florida Atlantic
Sep. 17 at Notre Dame
Sep. 24 Central Michigan
Oct. 1 at Ohio State
Oct. 8 OPEN DATE
Oct. 15 Michigan
Oct. 22 Wisconsin
Oct. 29 at Nebraska
Nov. 5 Minnesota
Nov. 12 at Iowa
Nov. 19 Indiana
Nov. 26 at Northwestern

 

Future Betting Value Index:

Arkansas to win the 2012 BCS Championship 35/1 – Fair

Arkansas to win the SEC Conference 10/1 – Good

Arkansas to win OVER 8.5 regular season games – Very Good

Georgia to win the 2012 BCS Championship 40/1 – Poor

Georgia to win the SEC 6/1 – Fair

Georgia to win OVER 8.5 regular season games – Fair

Michigan State odds to win the BCS Championship 55/1 – Poor

Michigan State odds to win the Big 10 9/1 – Good

Michigan State odds to win OVER 7.5 regular season games - Excellent

 

 

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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