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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns an NFL Lock?

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/03/2009

On Saturday evening, the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns line remained at Bengals -6 with only a handful of sportsbooks deviating a half point upwards.  This line opened at -3 ½ in Vegas and at -4 and -4 ½ online.  Most books on the Web had the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns line at -5 ½ by Monday, so for most of the week there was very little in the way of any line movement.  SBG Global had the line at -6.

90 percent of those betting this game were backing the Bengals.

Let's face reality, this year's Cleveland Browns look like last year's Detroit Lions.  There are already suggestions that Coach Eric Mangini is incapable of running this team.

Can Cleveland Browns coach Eric Mangini remain a leader if no one is following?  That is the headline of commentary that appeared in the Cleveland Plains Dealer on Saturday.  OUCH!

"Actually, Mangini is far from clueless. For one, he's acutely aware he's got a disaster on his hands," writes Bud Shaw of the Plains Dealer.

Once we get beyond the whole leadership issue, there is the reality that Cleveland simply does not have a good quarterback.  This is something we here at Gambling911.com pointed out at the start of the season.

So are the Cincinnati Bengals a "Lock" here?

Gambling911.com thinks it's pretty close.  Let's take a look at some vital Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns betting trends:

The Bengals are 7-3 in this series over the last 10 games including a win the last time these teams played each other back in December.  That was a 14-0 Cincinnati shutout.

The Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

They are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

The Browns are Browns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

The most telling stat is that Cleveland is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.

Cleveland is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

They are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Browns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

They are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.

We really believe that Cincinnati can beat Cleveland by double digits, provided they don't sleep walk into Browns territory....and even then we think they can cover.

Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher 

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