Alabama vs. Tennessee Spread Does Not Move Off 16.5

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:
Alabama vs. Tennessee Spread

The Alabama vs. Tennessee spread for Week 8 of the regular College Football season has not moved off the number -16.5 since opening.  Alabama was the away favorite and getting over 80 percent of the betting action in this game. 

After a loss to South Carolina two weeks ago, Alabama saw its odds of winning the 2011 BCS Championship get much longer (10/1).  This week they were back in favor with the oddsmakers following a win and back around 3/1 favorites.

The Crimson Tide is now ranked number 8 in the nation and is widely expected to breeze by Tennessee, who would pay a massive $55 for every $10 bet if they were to win outright in this game.  (see the Tennessee Vols money line here)

Tennessee will come into this game winless this season against conference foes, but Alabama is not taking the 2-4 Volunteers lightly.

"It doesn't matter what Tennessee's record is," defensive tackle Marcel Dareus said. "When we come to play Tennessee they're going to bring their 'A Game.' They play hard every time we play them, just like last year. We couldn't say anything about their record but when they come to play us they put on a fight."

Let’s review some of the important team trends applied to Alabama vs. Tennessee.  Gambling911.com is thrilled to present its “Gambler’s Edge”, which provides gamblers with a handle on teams that have the best chance of winning when it comes to specific trending categories.

Alabama has won the last three in this series and has covered the spread in the last four games.  They did not cover the spread last year.

Tennessee had a similar line last year (+14) and managed to cover after losing by only two points.  However, they have lost by the current spread two of the last four games in this series.  We should also note that Alabama hosted the Vols last season.

As a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points, Alabama is just 21-39 since 1992.

The Tide are 5-2 Against The Spread after a Straight Up win.  The Volunteers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. (edge: Alabama)

The Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.  Tennessee is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.  However, offsetting the later just a bit is the fact that the Vols are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, and, as such, Gambling911.com does not see an edge here for either team.

While a lot of you will be looking to bet the spread in this game, it is highly recommended to check out the 47.5 TOTAL.

As a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points, the UNDER has gone 1-10 for Alabama over the last three seasons.  In October games, the UNDER is 2-8.  The UNDER is 21-7 in Crimson Tide last 28 vs. a team with a losing record and 14-5-1 in Crimson Tide last 20 conference games. 

For Tennessee, the UNDER is 7-0 in Volunteers last 7 games following a bye week, 8-1-1 in Volunteers last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 11-4 in Volunteers last 15 games following a ATS loss, and 8-3 in October games.  Tennessee has, however, gone OVER 7-1 in the past 8 games overall and 6-1 vs. teams with a winning record.  (The UNDER 47.5 has a very strong edge in our opinion) – Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com




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