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South Florida vs. West Virginia College Football Free Pick

Written by:
Johnny Detroit
Published on:
Oct/14/2010
South Florida vs. West Virginia College Football

This South Florida vs. West Virginia College Football free pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.  If you would like to bet on this game, SBG Global is currently offering odds of Mountaineers 10.5 along with a 30 percent initial deposit bonus when opening an online betting account here.

The West Virginia Mountaineers welcome the South Florida Bulls into Morgantown for an ESPN clash starting at 7:45 EDT. The Mountaineers just might be the best team in the Big East, but they are facing a team in South Florida that has caused many problems to them. West Virginia is a 10.5 home favorite tonight, with a total of 43 points expected.

West Virginia is back in the national rankings at #25 in the nation. The Mountaineers are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS overall this season. West Virginia enters tonight's contest with revenge on their minds, as they've lost 4 of the past 5 games played against South Florida. Clearly USF is in the heads of the Mountaineers, so it will be interesting to see how they respond to the challenge at hand tonight. The Mountaineers are throwing the ball more than ever this year, behind stud QB Geno Smith. Smith is 2nd in the Big East passer rating, thanks to 1,139 passing YDS and 12 TD's this year. Smith directs an offense that is averaging 29.8 PPG this season. West Virginia has a stifling defense this year, especially against the run. The Mountaineers are only allowing 13.6 PPG this season, 7th best in the nation. Of the 3 home gamest this year, nobody has stayed within 14 PTS of the Mountaineers. The Mountaineers are 5-0 ATS against a team with a winning record. West Virginia is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite more than 10 points.

The Mountaineers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Over is 7-2 in their last 9 Thursday games.

South Florida might have 3 wins this season, but one could argue that none of them came against top 100 teams. Coach Holtz is seeing how difficult it can be to coach at a BCS school. USF has a ton of pride though, and they will get on track sooner rather than later. South Florida is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS overall this season. The Bulls are looking to bounce back from their conference opener home loss to Syracuse, where they only scored 9 PTS. This Bulls offense has been troublesome, as they have been very 1 dimensional. This team has absolutely no passing game, so everything they do comes via the ground. South Florida averages 176.2 rushing YPG this season, 43rd in the nation. RB Moise Plancher is the team leader in rushing, with 289 YDS and 4 TD's this year. QB B.J. Daniels has struggled this year, throwing for only 684 YDS with 4 TD's and 7 INT's. Besides giving up 38 PTS to Florida, no other team has scored more than 14 PTS against South Florida. Overall, this Bulls defense is only allowing 16 PPG, 19th best in the country. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog greater than 10 points. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. South Florida is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. 

The Bulls are 6-15 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Pregame.com Free College Football pick:   The final score will be 31-13 in favor of the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Mountaineers -10.5 is the Side of the Day! - - Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com

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