Bet What Taylor Swift Says During Appearance on The Tonight Show October 6

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Sep/30/2025

Taylor Swift is set to appear on "The Tonight Show" with Jimmy Fallon, and the prediction market Kalshi is already setting odds on what the famed recording artist will say

"The Life of a Showgirl" was seeing the most backing at 82% while "Engaged" was seeing 78% early. 

Just over $26,000 had been wagered since the announcement of her appearance was made on Monday.

Swift is set to appear alongside her Idol, actress Keri Russell, who is slated as the second guest after her.

From LateNighter:

Russell first won over Swift long before they would ever share a greenroom. The proof lies in a blog post Swift penned back in January 2008.

In a MySpace post titled “Keri Russell is the coolest celebrity ever,” Swift recounted meeting the Felicity and Waitress star at a corporate party where Swift had been hired to perform. “I’ve always been obsessed with her because she rocks the curly hair, and was AMAZING in The Waitress [sic] and Felicity,” Swift wrote.

Swift will appear two nights later on Late Night with Seth Meyers October 8th. She will be the sole guest and will give us an extended interview about the release of her upcoming album “The Life of a Showgirl”. 

Rules: 

If Taylor Swift says Midnight as part of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon starting on October 6th, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Video of the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon starting on October 6th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon starting on October 6th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. Only live aired content will resolve this market. Previous recordings aired during this segment will not resolve this event. 

- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com 

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