Massive Grammys Odds Moves After Heavy Betting

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Nov/10/2025

The oddsmakers are BetOnline are solid when it comes to handicapping sports. 

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Entertainment events...definitely not their strong suit, and quite often mistakes will be made.

Vegas was way off when setting the initial Grammys odds last Friday after nominations were announced. Bettors hammered favorable odds, and now we have a ton of changes to tell you about. 

Best New Artist:

- sombr went from a -500 favorite to a +800 underdog

- Leon Thomas went from +600 to the -150 favorite

- KATSEYE's odds improved from +1600 to +500

- Addison Rae went from +2000 to +800

Record of the Year:

- Manchild went from a -175 favorite to a +800 underdog

- APT. went from worst odds at +1200 to the -120 favorite

- Abracadabra's odds improved from +800 to +250

Song of the Year: 

- Manchild went from a -275 favorite to a +1400 longshot

- Golden went from third at +350 to first at -150

- luther's odds improved from +800 to +210

- Abracadabra saw the biggest move, going from +2500 (last) to +250

Album of the Year:

- Man's Best Friend went from a -150 favorite to a +1000 underdog

- MAYHEM went from last (+2000 odds) to the favorite at -250

Additionally, there were five new categories opened over the weekend so you can check the odds for those below as well.

Grammys odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time 

Best New Artist

Leon Thomas

-150

Olivia Dean

+225

KATSEYE

+500

Alex Warren

+600

Addison Rae

+800

sombr

+800

Lola Young

+1000

The Marias

+1200

Record of the Year

APT ROSE/Bruno Mars

-120

Abracadabra Lady Gaga

+250

luther Kendrick Lamar (ft SZA)

+300

Manchild Sabrina Carpenter

+800

Anxiety Doechii

+850

DtMF Bad Bunny

+850

The Subway Chappell Roan

+850

WILDFLOWER Billie Eillish

+900

Song of the Year

Golden KPop Demon Hunters

-150

luther Kendrick Lamar (ft SZA)

+210

Abracadabra Lady Gaga

+250

APT. ROSE/Bruno Mars

+600

Manchild Sabrina Carpenter

+1400

WILDFLOWER Billie Eilish

+1400

Anxiety Doechii

+1600

DtMF Bad Bunny

+1600

Album of the Year

MAYHEM Lady Gaga

-250

DeBl TiRAR MaS FOToS Bad Bunny 

+450

SWAG Justin Bieber

+525

Let God Sort Em Out C PT & Malice

+575

CHROMAKOPIA Tyler The Creator

+600

GNX Kendrick Lamar

+650

Man's Best Friend Sabrina Carpenter

+1000

MUTT Leon Thomas

+2800

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance 

APT. ROSÉ, Bruno Mars

+150

Golden HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI

+175

30 For 30 SZA With Kendrick Lamar

+350

Defying Gravity Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande

+500

Gabriela KATSEYE

+850

Best Pop Solo Performance 

Manchild Sabrina Carpenter

-150

Disease Lady Gaga

+175

The Subway Chappell Roan

+600

Messy Lola Young

+1200

DAISES Justin Bieber

+1400

Best Rap Album

GNX Kendrick Lamar

+125

Let God Sort Em Out Clipse, Pusha T & Malice

+240

CHROMAKOPIA Tyler The Creator

+275

GLORIOUS GloRilla

+650

God Does Like Ugly JID

+800

Best Rock Album

Idols YUNGBLUD

-150

I quit HAIM

+350

From Zero Linkin Park

+500

private music Deftones

+550

NEVER ENOUGH Turnstile

+800

Best Traditional Country Album

Ain't In It For My Health Zach Top

-150

Oh What A Beautiful World Willie Nelson

+325

American Romance Lukas Nelson

+550

Dollar A Day Charley Crockett

+650

Hard Headed Woman Margo Price

+650

Again, here's a quick rundown of how the odds work:

- The "favorite" has a minus (-) sign in front of him/her/it

- The "underdogs" have a plus (+) sign in front of him/her/it

- The larger the number behind the plus sign, the bigger the underdog

- Essentially, going from top to bottom on the list is ranking most likely to least likely to win

Here are some examples: 

  • Bettor risks $150 on Leon Thomas for Best New Artist and if he wins, the bet would return $250 (150 original bet + 100 in winnings). 
  • Bettor risks $100 on KATSEYE for Best New Artist and if they win, the bet would return $600 (100 original bet + 500 in winnings).

- BetOnline Press

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