Written by :
t c jackson
Published on :
OAKLAND PARK, Fla. (Gambling911.com) - Long time South Florida news anchor Elliott Rodriguez is running as a Democrat in the Florida's 27th Congressional District race. His opponent is Republican Maria Elvira Salazar. Rodriguez pays $175 for every $100 bet. Salazar is the -215 favorite here with a 68% chance of winning.
While the oddsmakers at BetOnline have Salazar winning, the most recent poll averages suggest a dead heat with Salazar at 45.8% and Rodriguez at 45.5%.
Recent Individual Polls
| Pollster | Dates | Salazar | Rodriguez | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D) | Sept. 8–13 | 47% | 46% | R +1 |
| Bendixen & Amandi (D) | Aug. 25–30 | 45% | 45% | Tie |
| Blueprint Polling | March 6–8 | 46% | 43% | R +3 |
All three surveys polled likely voters. The two most recent were Democratic-sponsored polls, so their sponsorship is important when interpreting the numbers.
On September 25, the Cook Political Report shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
The district includes portions of Miami, consisting of a population near 50,000, and surrounding communities, including Coral Gables, South Miami, Pinecrest, Palmetto Bay, Cutler Bay, Key Biscayne and West Miami. It also includes Little Havana and several unincorporated neighborhoods. The 2026 redistricting made relatively minor changes to its boundaries.
Salazar won reelection in 2024 by approximately 21 percentage points, while Donald Trump carried the district by roughly 15 points.
Rodriguez worked for CBS Miami television news as an anchor with nearly 50 years in journalism
The important qualification is that there is limited independent public polling. The close surveys establish what those particular samples found, but don't establish a definitive districtwide shift.
OCTOBER 22 ODDS
| District | Candidate | Odds | Probability |
| Alabama-02 | Rhett Marques (R) | -325 | 76% |
| Shomari Figures (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| Arizona-01 | Jay Feely (R) | +375 | 17% |
| Amish Shah (D) | -500 | 83% | |
| Arizona-02 | Eli Crane (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Jonathan Nez (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Arizona-06 | Juan Ciscomani (R) | +500 | 11% |
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) | -800 | 89% | |
| Arkansas-02 | French Hill (R) | -700 | 88% |
| Chris Jones (D) | +450 | 12% | |
| California-04 | Mike Thompson (D) | -500 | 83% |
| Eric Jones (D) | +375 | 17% | |
| California-07 | Doris Matsui (D) | -185 | 65% |
| Mai Vang (D) | +155 | 35% | |
| California-14 | Aisha Wahab (D) | -800 | 89% |
| Melissa Hernandez (D) | +500 | 11% | |
| California-22 | David Valadao (R) | +750 | 6% |
| Randy Villegas (D) | -1500 | 94% | |
| California-34 | Angela Gonzales-Torres (D) | -400 | 80% |
| Jimmy Gomez (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| California-40 | Ken Calvert (R) | -200 | 67% |
| Young Kim (R) | +160 | 33% | |
| Colorado-03 | Jeff Hurd (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Dwayne Romero (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Colorado-04 | Lauren Boebert (R) | -250 | 71% |
| Eileen Laubacher (D) | +200 | 29% | |
| Colorado-05 | Jeff Crank (R) | -325 | 76% |
| Jessica Killin (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| Colorado-08 | Gabe Evans (R) | +550 | 10% |
| Manny Rutinel (D) | -900 | 90% | |
| Florida-07 | Ryan Elijah (R) | -225 | 69% |
| Bale Dalton (D) | +185 | 31% | |
| Florida-09 | Dan Green (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Darren Soto (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Florida-13 | Anna Paulina Luna (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Leela Gray (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Florida-14 | Kathy Castor (D) | -225 | 69% |
| Mike Beltran (R) | +185 | 31% | |
| Florida-22 | Casey Askar (R) | +120 | 40% |
| Pia Dandiya (D) | -150 | 60% | |
| Florida-25 | Jared Moskowitz (D) | -700 | 88% |
| Scott Singer (R) | +450 | 12% | |
| Florida-27 | Maria Elvira Salazar (R) | -215 | 68% |
| Elliott Rodriguez (D) | +175 | 32% | |
| Indiana-05 | Victoria Spartz (R) | -650 | 87% |
| J.D. Ford (D) | +425 | 13% | |
| Iowa-01 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | +700 | 7% |
| Christina Bohannan (D) | -1400 | 93% | |
| Iowa-02 | Lindsay James (D) | -150 | 60% |
| Joe Mitchell (R) | +120 | 40% | |
| Iowa-03 | Zach Nunn (R) | +400 | 14% |
| Sarah Trone Garriott (D) | -600 | 86% | |
| Kentucky-06 | Ralph Alvarado (R) | -275 | 73% |
| Zach Dembo (D) | +215 | 27% | |
| Maine-02 | Paul LePage (R) | -210 | 68% |
| Matt Dunlap (D) | +170 | 32% | |
| Michigan-04 | Bill Huizenga (R) | -130 | 57% |
| Sean McCann (D) | +100 | 43% | |
| Michigan-07 | William Lawrence (D) | -185 | 65% |
| Tom Barrett (R) | +155 | 35% | |
| Michigan-10 | Christina Hines (D) | -225 | 69% |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. (R) | +185 | 31% | |
| Minnesota-01 | Brad Finstad (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Jake Johnson (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| Missouri-02 | Ann Wagner (R) | -325 | 76% |
| Fred Wellman (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| Montana-01 | Aaron Flint (R) | -250 | 71% |
| Sam Forstag (D) | +200 | 29% | |
| Nebraska-01 | Mike Flood (R) | -700 | 88% |
| Chris Backemeyer (D) | +450 | 12% | |
| Nevada-02 | David Flippo (R) | -325 | 76% |
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| New Jersey-02 | Jeff Van Drew (R) | -550 | 85% |
| Zack Mullock (D) | +375 | 15% | |
| New Jersey-07 | Thomas Kean Jr. (R) | +900 | 5% |
| Rebecca Bennett (D) | -1800 | 95% | |
| New York-01 | Nick Lalota (R) | -900 | 90% |
| Chris Gallant (D) | +550 | 10% | |
| New York-17 | Mike Lawler (R) | +150 | 36% |
| Cait Conley (D) | -180 | 64% | |
| New York-21 | Anthony Constantino (R) | -325 | 76% |
| Blake Gendebien (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| North Carolina-01 | Don Davis (D) | -250 | 71% |
| Laurie Buckhout (R) | +200 | 29% | |
| North Carolina-09 | Richard Hudson (R) | -600 | 86% |
| Richard Ojeda (D) | +400 | 14% | |
| North Carolina-11 | Jamie Ager (D) | -425 | 81% |
| Jennifer Balkcom (R) | +325 | 19% | |
| Ohio-07 | Brian Poindexter (D) | -550 | 85% |
| Max Miller (R) | +375 | 15% | |
| Ohio-09 | Marcy Kaptur (D) | -325 | 76% |
| Derek Merrin (R) | +250 | 24% | |
| Ohio-10 | Mike Turner (R) | -800 | 89% |
| Kristina Knickerbocker (D) | +500 | 11% | |
| Ohio-15 | Mike Carey (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Don Leonard (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| Pennsylvania-01 | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | -185 | 65% |
| Bob Harvie (D) | +155 | 35% | |
| Pennsylvania-07 | Ryan Mackenzie (R) | +600 | 9% |
| Bob Brooks (D) | -1000 | 91% | |
| Pennsylvania-08 | Rob Bresnahan (R) | +250 | 24% |
| Paige Cognetti (D) | -325 | 76% | |
| Pennsylvania-10 | Scott Perry (R) | +400 | 14% |
| Janelle Stelson (D) | -600 | 86% | |
| South Carolina-01 | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Nancy S. Lacore (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Texas-15 | Bobby Pulido (D) | -800 | 89% |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) | +500 | 11% | |
| Texas-23 | Brandon Herrera (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Katy Padilla Stout (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Texas-34 | Vicente Gonzalez (D) | -800 | 89% |
| Eric Flores (R) | +500 | 11% | |
| Texas-35 | Johnny C. Garcia (D) | -200 | 67% |
| Carlos De La Cruz (R) | +160 | 33% | |
| Virginia-01 | Rob Wittman (R) | +120 | 40% |
| Shannon Taylor (D) | -150 | 60% | |
| Virginia-02 | Elaine Luria (D) | -1200 | 92% |
| Jen Kiggans (R) | +600 | 8% | |
| Virginia-05 | John McGuire (R) | -275 | 73% |
| Tom Perriello (D) | +215 | 27% | |
| Washington-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | -1500 | 94% |
| John Braun (R) | +750 | 6% | |
| Washington-05 | Michael Baumgartner (R) | -900 | 90% |
| Carmela Conroy (D) | +550 | 10% | |
| Wisconsin-01 | Bryan Steil (R) | -225 | 69% |
| Mitchell Berman (D) | +185 | 31% | |
| Wisconsin-03 | Rebecca Cooke (D) | -325 | 76% |
| Derrick Van Orden (R) | +250 | 24% |
OCTOBER 4 ODDS
| District | Candidate | Odds |
| Alabama-02 | Rhett Marques (R) | -325 |
| Shomari Figures (D) | +250 | |
| Arizona-01 | Jay Feely (R) | +300 |
| Amish Shah (D) | -400 | |
| Arizona-02 | Eli Crane (R) | -225 |
| Jonathan Nez (D) | +185 | |
| Arizona-06 | Juan Ciscomani (R) | +500 |
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) | -700 | |
| Arkansas-02 | French Hill (R) | -600 |
| Chris Jones (D) | +425 | |
| California-04 | Mike Thompson (D) | -550 |
| Eric Jones (D) | +400 | |
| California-07 | Doris Matsui (D) | -200 |
| Mai Vang (D) | +160 | |
| California-14 | Aisha Wahab (D) | -500 |
| Melissa Hernandez (D) | +375 | |
| California-22 | David Valadao (R) | +750 |
| Randy Villegas (D) | -1500 | |
| California-34 | Angela Gonzales-Torres (D) | -400 |
| Jimmy Gomez (D) | +300 | |
| California-40 | Ken Calvert (R) | -160 |
| Young Kim (R) | +130 | |
| Colorado-03 | Jeff Hurd (R) | -300 |
| Dwayne Romero (D) | +240 | |
| Colorado-04 | Lauren Boebert (R) | -200 |
| Eileen Laubacher (D) | +160 | |
| Colorado-05 | Jeff Crank (R) | -325 |
| Jessica Killin (D) | +250 | |
| Colorado-08 | Gabe Evans (R) | +700 |
| Manny Rutinel (D) | -1000 | |
| Florida-07 | Ryan Elijah (R) | -215 |
| Bale Dalton (D) | +175 | |
| Florida-13 | Anna Paulina Luna (R) | -300 |
| Leela Gray (D) | +240 | |
| Florida-14 | Kathy Castor (D) | -225 |
| Mike Beltran (R) | +185 | |
| Florida-22 | Casey Askar (R) | -105 |
| Pia Dandiya (D) | -125 | |
| Florida-25 | Jared Moskowitz (D) | -325 |
| Scott Singer (R) | +250 | |
| Florida-27 | Maria Elvira Salazar (R) | -210 |
| Elliott Rodriguez (D) | +170 | |
| Iowa-01 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | +550 |
| Christina Bohannan (D) | -800 | |
| Iowa-02 | Lindsay James (D) | -140 |
| Joe Mitchell (R) | +110 | |
| Iowa-03 | Zach Nunn (R) | +300 |
| Sarah Trone Garriott (D) | -400 | |
| Kentucky-06 | Ralph Alvarado (R) | -250 |
| Zach Dembo (D) | +200 | |
| Michigan-04 | Bill Huizenga (R) | -135 |
| Sean McCann (D) | +105 | |
| Michigan-07 | William Lawrence (D) | -150 |
| Tom Barrett (R) | +110 | |
| Michigan-10 | Christina Hines (D) | -225 |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. (R) | +185 | |
| Minnesota-01 | Brad Finstad (R) | -350 |
| Jake Johnson (D) | +275 | |
| Montana-01 | Aaron Flint (R) | -210 |
| Sam Forstag (D) | +170 | |
| Nebraska-01 | Mike Flood (R) | -700 |
| Chris Backemeyer (D) | +500 | |
| Nevada-02 | David Flippo (R) | -325 |
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) | +250 | |
| New Jersey-02 | Jeff Van Drew (R) | -400 |
| Zack Mullock (D) | +300 | |
| New Jersey-07 | Thomas Kean Jr. (R) | +700 |
| Rebecca Bennett (D) | -1000 | |
| New York-01 | Nick Lalota (R) | -550 |
| Chris Gallant (D) | +400 | |
| New York-17 | Mike Lawler (R) | +155 |
| Cait Conley (D) | -190 | |
| North Carolina-09 | Richard Hudson (R) | -400 |
| Richard Odeja (D) | +300 | |
| North Carolina-11 | Jamie Ager (D) | -215 |
| Jennifer Balkcom (R) | +175 | |
| Ohio-07 | Brian Poindexter (D) | -500 |
| Max Miller (R) | +375 | |
| Ohio-09 | Marcy Kaptur (D) | -350 |
| Derek Merrin (R) | +275 | |
| Ohio-10 | Mike Turner (R) | -600 |
| Kristina Knickerbocker (D) | +425 | |
| Ohio-15 | Mike Carey (R) | -400 |
| Don Leonard (D) | +300 | |
| Pennsylvania-01 | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | -185 |
| Bob Harvie (D) | +155 | |
| Pennsylvania-07 | Ryan Mackenzie (R) | +550 |
| Bob Brooks (D) | -800 | |
| Pennsylvania-08 | Rob Bresnahan (R) | +215 |
| Paige Cognetti (D) | -275 | |
| Pennsylvania-10 | Scott Perry (R) | +500 |
| Janelle Stelson (D) | -700 | |
| South Carolina-01 | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) | -300 |
| Nancy S. Lacore (D) | +240 | |
| Texas-15 | Bobby Pulido (D) | -500 |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) | +375 | |
| Texas-23 | Brandon Herrera (R) | -200 |
| Katy Padilla Stout (D) | +160 | |
| Texas-34 | Vicente Gonzalez (D) | -800 |
| Eric Flores (R) | +550 | |
| Texas-35 | Johnny C. Garcia (D) | -200 |
| Carlos De La Cruz (R) | +160 | |
| Virginia-01 | Rob Wittman (R) | -125 |
| Shannon Taylor (D) | -105 | |
| Virginia-02 | Elaine Luria (D) | -600 |
| Jen Kiggans (R) | +425 | |
| Virginia-05 | John McGuire (R) | -500 |
| Tom Perriello (D) | +375 | |
| Washington-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | -1500 |
| John Braun (R) | +750 | |
| Washington-05 | Michael Baumgartner (R) | -700 |
| Carmela Conroy (D) | +500 | |
| Wisconsin-01 | Bryan Steil (R) | -225 |
| Mitchell Berman (D) | +185 | |
| Wisconsin-03 | Rebecca Cooke (D) | -325 |
| Derrick Van Orden (R) | +250 |
- T C Jackson, Gambling911.com
