Commanders vs Giants TD Scorer Odds & Picks

Written by :

Ean Lamb

Published on :

12 November, 2026

Commanders vs. Giants Touchdown Scorer Picks: Isaiah Likely Looks to Exploit Washington's Biggest Weakness

OAKLAND PARK, Fla. (Gambling911.com) - We have your touchdown scorer prop bets for the Commanders vs. Giants game Thursday night. Action on this one was balanced with the number having shifted between Giants -1 and -2 and coming into game time at -1.5.

Commanders vs. Giants Betting Preview

The New York Giants host the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football in an NFC East matchup featuring several intriguing anytime touchdown scorer opportunities.

New York enters at 5-2-1, leading the NFC East, while Washington sits at 2-5-1. Their first meeting this season ended in a 27-27 tie, and several players from that contest could play important roles again tonight.

Even using a home field advantage of 1.49 currently found at the Sagarin Ratings, the Giants line should be between -3 and -3.5. Because the Giants haven't consistently demonstrated a particularly strong home-field edge in recent seasons, that number can be adjusted to 1. That still gives us a 2.5 to -3 line for the Giants, which is a tick above the current line.

Rating system Projected spread

Sonny Moore    Giants -4.1
Elo    Giants -3.9
Simple Rating System (SRS)    Giants -3.9
Machine Learning Ball    Giants -3.0
DRatings    Giants -2.7
Sagarin    Giants -2.6

While the action is balanced on the AcePerHead.com odds platform, that is not the case across the board.

At Circa, for example, the Giants are drawing 86% of spread tickets and 90% of the money. DraftKings tickets and money were around 75% on New York.

The Under 41 might be the way to go. Circa Sportsbook is a sportsbook closely watched for professional betting activity, and this was the action we were seeing on the total Thursday:

- 70% of tickets are on the Under.
- 98% of the money is on the Under.
- The total is sitting around 41.

Commanders vs. Giants Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets

Anytime Touchdown - First Touchdown - 2+ Touchdowns

Cameron Skattebo
+125
+600
+850

Malik Nabers
+175
+900
+1500

Rachaad White
+175
+800
+1300

Isaiah Likely
+200
+1000
+1800

Likely enters Thursday night's contest as the Giants' leading receiving touchdown scorer with six touchdowns through eight games. The former Baltimore Ravens tight end has caught 46 passes for 448 yards and has developed into one of New York's most dependable red-zone targets.

His previous performance against Washington is especially noteworthy. Likely caught 11 passes and scored two touchdowns in the teams' 27-27 tie earlier this season.

The matchup is particularly favorable because Washington has surrendered eight touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season.

He pays $200 for every $100 bet to score an anytime touchdown in this game.

Stefon Diggs
+235
+1100
+2000

Diggs has scored five receiving touchdowns this season, making him Washington's leading receiving touchdown scorer. He has caught 30 passes for 303 yards, and his ability to create separation in tight spaces has made him an important option for quarterback Jayden Daniels.

The Commanders have struggled offensively, but Diggs remains one of their most accomplished receivers.

His payout is $235 for every $100 bet to score an anytime touchdown.

Jayden Daniels
+270
+1300
+2500

Devin Singletary
+295
+1400
+2500

Austin Ekeler
+320
+1400
+2800

Chigoziem Okonkwo
+340
+1600
+3500

Treylon Burks
+370
+1700
+4000

Malachi Fields
+425
+2000
+5000

Antonio Williams
+425
+1900
+4500

J.J. McCarthy
+475
+2000
+6000

NY Giants D/ST
+475
+2200
+5000

WAS Commanders D/ST
+500
+2200
+5000